NBTB NBT Bancorp Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NBTB just turned positive on October 16, 2026. Looking at past instances where NBTB's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 22 of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 52%.

NBTB moved above its 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for NBTB crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 26, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 9 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.

Following a +0.64% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NBTB advanced for three days, in 176 of 305 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 127 of 261 cases where NBTB Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 49%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for NBTB moved out of overbought territory on October 27, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 37 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 25 of the 37 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 68%.

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 32 of 58 cases where NBTB's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 55%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NBTB declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 55%.

NBTB broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 16 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 31 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 56, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NBTB’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 54 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 55 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.412) is normal, around the industry mean (1.262). P/E Ratio (12.792) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.480). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.190) is also within normal values, averaging (1.194). Dividend Yield (0.030) settles around the average of (0.035) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.658) is also within normal values, averaging (3.740).