NBTB NBT Bancorp Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

NBTB in downward trend: 10-day moving average broke below 50-day moving average on September 01, 2026

The 10-day moving average for NBTB crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 01, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 14 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 18, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NBTB as a result. In 39 of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 48%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NBTB turned negative on September 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 22 of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 51%.

NBTB moved below its 50-day moving average on September 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NBTB declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.

The Aroon Indicator for NBTB entered a downward trend on September 11, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a +2.16% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NBTB advanced for three days, in 177 of 305 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.

NBTB may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 16 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 37 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 57, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 38 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.358) is normal, around the industry mean (1.321). P/E Ratio (12.363) is within average values for comparable stocks, (24.015). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.190) is also within normal values, averaging (1.186). Dividend Yield (0.030) settles around the average of (0.030) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.658) is also within normal values, averaging (3.747).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NBTB’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.