NBTB NBT Bancorp Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Momentum Indicator for NBTB turns positive, indicating new upward trend

NBTB saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on September 09, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 79 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 57 of the 79 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 72%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

NBTB moved above its 50-day moving average on September 10, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +1.13% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NBTB advanced for three days, in 180 of 305 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.

NBTB may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 30 of 60 cases where NBTB's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.

The 10-day moving average for NBTB crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 01, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 5 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 28%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NBTB declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.

The Aroon Indicator for NBTB entered a downward trend on September 11, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 16 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 36 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.383) is normal, around the industry mean (1.365). P/E Ratio (12.589) is within average values for comparable stocks, (24.254). NBTB's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.682). Dividend Yield (0.029) settles around the average of (0.031) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.668) is also within normal values, averaging (3.789).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 56, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NBTB’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 66 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.