Founded in 1971, Nasdaq is primarily known for its equity exchange, but in addition to its trading business (about 22... Show more
Nasdaq, Inc. is a global financial technology company best known for operating one of the world's premier electronic securities exchanges. Founded in 1971 as the first electronic stock market, Nasdaq has transformed into a diversified technology and data powerhouse. The company now generates substantial revenue well beyond transaction fees—selling market and financial data, managing a family of widely tracked indices, offering capital-access platforms for corporate clients, and providing financial-crime management technology through its Verafin division. Its Capital Markets Technology and Capital Access Platforms segments serve exchanges, brokers, asset managers, and listed companies worldwide. With a market capitalization near $52 billion and a growing footprint in fintech, regulatory technology, and ESG solutions, Nasdaq sits at the intersection of global capital markets and the digital transformation reshaping financial services. Investors follow NDAQ closely as a proxy for exchange volumes, IPO activity, and the secular shift toward technology-driven financial infrastructure.
NDAQ shares experienced a dramatic V-shaped pattern within the 30-day window ending July 20. On June 18, the stock closed at $82.24, already substantially off its late-May highs near $93. Selling intensified through the final week of June, pushing shares to an intra-period low of $76.85 on June 29 as a global technology rout, AI-valuation concerns, and renewed Federal Reserve rate-hike fears swept through equity markets. From that trough, NDAQ mounted a powerful recovery. By July 16, the stock reached $94.25—its highest level since early June—before settling at $91.87 on July 20. The 30-day gain of approximately 11.7% largely reflects the July rebound rather than steady appreciation.
Over the broader quarter, the trajectory appears more tempered. From a close of $87.78 on April 20, 2026, the stock advanced roughly 4.7% through July 20. The quarterly path was anything but linear: a spring rally carried NDAQ near $93 by late May, the June sell-off erased those gains and more, and the July bounce restored positive territory. The quarterly narrative is one of resilience—Nasdaq's diversified revenue model and listing momentum helped it recover while pure-play technology names continued to struggle with AI-related repricing.
The late-June sell-off that pushed NDAQ below $77 was not company-specific. It reflected a broad rotation out of technology and growth equities triggered by several overlapping forces: a hawkish tone from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh that raised expectations for multiple 2026 rate hikes, a sharp correction in semiconductor stocks led by MU and memory-chip names, and growing skepticism about whether massive AI infrastructure spending would deliver proportional returns. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell more than 20% from its late-June peak, and the Nasdaq Composite logged its worst week in over a year. NDAQ, as a financial-exchange operator with tech-sector exposure through its listings franchise, was pulled lower alongside the broader market.
The subsequent recovery was powered by a confluence of company-specific catalysts. The SpaceX (SPCX) initial public offering—the largest in history at roughly $2.5 trillion—began trading in early June, and Nasdaq revised its index criteria to accelerate SpaceX's inclusion in the Nasdaq-100. On July 7, SpaceX officially joined the benchmark index, triggering forced buying by ETFs and index funds tracking the gauge. That same week, BlackRock (BLK) announced the launch of its iShares Nasdaq 100 ETF under ticker IQQ, directly challenging Invesco's (IVZ) long-dominant QQQ franchise and underscoring robust demand for Nasdaq-100-linked products.
Nasdaq also reported record first-half 2026 results for U.S. listings, with $129.3 billion raised, and launched Nasdaq Texas as a new dual-listing venue. The company expanded its credit facility to $1.5 billion, raised its quarterly dividend from $0.27 to $0.31, and disclosed strong Q2 trading volumes—U.S. equity options volume surged 25.4% year over year. A Calypso technology partnership with the National Bank of Georgia further highlighted fintech momentum. TD Cowen raised its NDAQ price target to $105 on July 20, adding to a string of analyst actions that reinforced the Buy consensus.
The quarterly story is built on three chapters. The first, spanning late April through May, was defined by optimism following Nasdaq's Q1 2026 earnings beat on April 23—the company delivered $0.96 EPS versus the $0.93 consensus and posted revenue of $2.14 billion, well above analyst forecasts. Organic revenue growth across Financial Technology, Capital Access Platforms, and Market Services drove the outperformance, and analysts responded with upward estimate revisions.
The second chapter, throughout June, was dominated by macro headwinds. The AI-sector repricing, fears of sustained inflation, and the Fed's more restrictive posture punished equities broadly. NDAQ's correlation with technology sentiment—through its listings business and index-licensing revenues—meant it could not escape the downdraft, even though its fundamentals remained solid.
The third chapter, in July, has been one of reassertion. The SpaceX catalyst, BlackRock's ETF entry, record capital-raising activity, and growing anticipation of another strong quarterly report have refocused investor attention on Nasdaq's structural advantages: diversified revenue streams, recurring fintech income, and its position as the premier venue for technology and growth-company listings. The quarterly gain, while modest at roughly 4.7%, masks significant underlying volatility and ultimately reflects confidence in the company's ability to grow earnings regardless of the rate environment.
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The most immediate catalyst is Nasdaq's Q2 2026 earnings report, scheduled for July 23 before the opening bell. Consensus estimates point to $0.98 per share on revenue of $1.44 billion, representing year-over-year growth of roughly 15% and 11%, respectively. Beyond the headline numbers, investors will scrutinize organic revenue growth across the Financial Technology and Capital Access Platforms segments, updates on Verafin's AI-driven financial-crime solutions, and management's commentary on the IPO pipeline for the second half of 2026.
Macroeconomic factors remain critical. The Federal Reserve's July 28–29 policy meeting falls just days after NDAQ reports earnings, and any shift in rate expectations could influence the broader equity environment that drives trading volumes, listing activity, and index-related revenues. Competitive dynamics also warrant attention—BlackRock's entry into Nasdaq-100 ETFs alongside State Street's (STT) recent launch intensifies competition in index-linked products, though it also validates the enduring appeal of the Nasdaq brand. Additionally, the pace of large FinTech contract signings, the trajectory of AI-related capital-market activity, and geopolitical risks affecting cross-border listings will shape the outlook for the remainder of 2026.
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The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NDAQ turned positive on July 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where NDAQ's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 41 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on July 02, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on NDAQ as a result. In of 80 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
NDAQ moved above its 50-day moving average on July 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for NDAQ crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on July 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NDAQ advanced for three days, in of 366 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 336 cases where NDAQ Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The 10-day RSI Indicator for NDAQ moved out of overbought territory on July 29, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 45 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NDAQ declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
NDAQ broke above its upper Bollinger Band on July 28, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NDAQ’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.392) is normal, around the industry mean (5.409). P/E Ratio (27.461) is within average values for comparable stocks, (25.060). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.776) is also within normal values, averaging (2.200). Dividend Yield (0.012) settles around the average of (0.019) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.184) is also within normal values, averaging (7.717).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
an operator of stock exchanges
Industry FinancialPublishingServices