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NMFC Stock Tickeron detected bearish Stock Pattern: Triangle Symmetrical Top NMFC on October 22, 2024, netting in a 9.11% gain over 1 month

A.I.dvisor
at Tickeron.com
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+9.11% Gain from a Successful pattern Triangle Symmetrical Top
NMFC - New Mountain Finance Corp
Tickeron
Ticker: NMFC
Company: New Mountain Finance
Gain from shortening: +9.11%
Confirmed: 10/22/24
Succeeded: 11/04/24
Total length: 53 days
On September 12, 2024, A.I.dvisor detected a Triangle Symmetrical Top Pattern (Bearish) for New Mountain Finance Corp (NMFC, $11.88). 40 days later, on October 22, 2024, A.I.dvisor confirmed the Bearish pattern, setting a target price of the stock. On November 04, 2024, the stock hit the target price of $10.95 – resulting in a gain for traders who shorted the stock on the pattern detection date.

NMFC's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for NMFC entered a downward trend on November 14, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 103 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 103 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NMFC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where NMFC's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 14 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 12, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on NMFC as a result. In of 96 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NMFC just turned positive on November 11, 2024. Looking at past instances where NMFC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NMFC advanced for three days, in of 343 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

NMFC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.013) is normal, around the industry mean (2.751). P/E Ratio (10.145) is within average values for comparable stocks, (26.882). NMFC's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (3.172). Dividend Yield (0.114) settles around the average of (0.073) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (10.811) is also within normal values, averaging (11.577).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. NMFC’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

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NMFC
Daily Signalchanged days ago
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General Information

a private equity fund

Industry InvestmentManagers

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
N/A
Address
1633 Broadway
Phone
+1 212 720-0300
Employees
N/A
Web
https://www.newmountainfinance.com