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NVR
Stock ticker:
NYSE
AS OF
Jul 1 closing price
Price
$4173.30
Change
+$151.95 (+3.78%)
Capitalization
13.71B

NVR Price Prediction, NVR AI Recommendations

Stock market charts, price targets, analyst ratings and a financial calendar
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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for AAPL with price predictions
12:00 AM EDT Jul 01, 2022

Momentum Indicator for NVR turns positive, indicating new upward trend

NVR saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on June 28, 2022. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 98 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 71 of the 98 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 72%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where NVR's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 15 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NVR just turned positive on June 27, 2022. Looking at past instances where NVR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NVR advanced for three days, in of 339 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

NVR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

NVR moved below its 50-day moving average on June 08, 2022 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for NVR crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on June 13, 2022. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NVR declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for NVR entered a downward trend on June 29, 2022. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NVR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.033) is normal, around the industry mean (5.783). P/E Ratio (11.148) is within average values for comparable stocks, (12.462). NVR's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.470). NVR has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.056). P/S Ratio (1.699) is also within normal values, averaging (105.706).

AI
A.I.Advisor
published price charts
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A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

NVR is expected to report earnings to rise 7.95% to $125.83 per share on July 22

NVR NVR Stock Earnings Reports
Q2'22
Est.
$125.83
Q1'22
Beat
by $19.58
Q4'21
Missed
by $10.68
Q3'21
Missed
by $2.33
Q2'21
Beat
by $10.02
The last earnings report on April 26 showed earnings per share of $116.56, beating the estimate of $96.98. With 23.52K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 13.71B.
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A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are DR Horton (NYSE:DHI), Lennar Corp (NYSE:LEN), Pultegroup (NYSE:PHM), KB Home (NYSE:KBH).

Industry description

Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Homebuilding Industry is 3.79B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 789.68K to 25.85B. LEN.B holds the highest valuation in this group at 25.85B. The lowest valued company is EGBB at 789.68K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -8%, and the average quarterly price growth was -26%. PSMMF experienced the highest price growth at 9%, while EGBB experienced the biggest fall at -17%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was -31%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 22% and the average quarterly volume growth was 183%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 37
P/E Growth Rating: 60
Price Growth Rating: 73
SMR Rating: 27
Profit Risk Rating: 74
Seasonality Score: 16 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a company which constructs, sells and finances new family homes

Industry Homebuilding

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Homebuilding
Address
11700 Plaza America Drive
Phone
+1 703 956-4000
Employees
6600
Web
https://www.nvrinc.com

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NVR and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NVR has been closely correlated with LEN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 86% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NVR jumps, then LEN could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To NVR
1D Price
Change %
NVR100%
+4.11%
LEN - NVR
86%
Closely correlated
+5.71%
PHM - NVR
85%
Closely correlated
+6.54%
DHI - NVR
84%
Closely correlated
+5.89%
TOL - NVR
84%
Closely correlated
+5.54%
CCS - NVR
81%
Closely correlated
+6.03%
More