NXRT NexPoint Residential Trust Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

NXRT sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line

NXRT saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on September 10, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 30 of the 43 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 70%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 03, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NXRT as a result. In 55 of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NXRT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.

The Aroon Indicator for NXRT entered a downward trend on October 01, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +3.23% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NXRT advanced for three days, in 169 of 280 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.

NXRT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 1 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 34 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.045) is normal, around the industry mean (13.682). NXRT's P/E Ratio (916.000) is considerably higher than the industry average of (96.479). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.010) is also within normal values, averaging (6.209). NXRT has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.107) as compared to the industry average of (0.058). NXRT's P/S Ratio (2.157) is slightly lower than the industry average of (5.317).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 65 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 82 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. NXRT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NXRT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 96, placing this stock worse than average.