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OBT Stock Tickeron detected bearish Stock Pattern: Triangle Descending OBT on September 14, 2023, netting in a 6.72% gain over 2 weeks

A.I.dvisor
at Tickeron.com
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+6.72% Gain from a Successful pattern Triangle Descending
OBT - Orange County Bancorp
Tickeron
Ticker: OBT
Company: Orange County Bancorp
Gain from shortening: +6.72%
Confirmed: 09/14/23
Succeeded: 10/02/23
Total length: 19 days
On September 13, 2023, A.I.dvisor detected a Triangle Descending Pattern (Bearish) for Orange County Bancorp (OBT, $45.38). 1 day later, on September 14, 2023, A.I.dvisor confirmed the Bearish pattern, setting a target price of the stock. On October 02, 2023, the stock hit the target price of $42.96 – resulting in a gain for traders who shorted the stock on the pattern detection date.

OBT in -5.36% downward trend, declining for three consecutive days on November 15, 2024

Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where OBT declined for three days, in of 164 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 70 cases where OBT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

OBT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 06, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for OBT entered a downward trend on November 05, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 06, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on OBT as a result. In of 103 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for OBT just turned positive on November 06, 2024. Looking at past instances where OBT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 56 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

OBT moved above its 50-day moving average on November 06, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for OBT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 08, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 11 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where OBT advanced for three days, in of 191 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 62, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. OBT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.603) is normal, around the industry mean (1.029). P/E Ratio (8.943) is within average values for comparable stocks, (18.662). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.381). Dividend Yield (0.020) settles around the average of (0.057) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.594) is also within normal values, averaging (2.987).

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OBT
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General Information

Industry RegionalBanks

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
N/A
Address
212 Dolson Avenue
Phone
+1 845 341-5000
Employees
204
Web
https://www.orangebanktrust.com