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Otter Tail Corp is a U... Show more

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A.I.Advisor
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Jul 27, 2026

Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) Stock Analysis: Balancing Utility Growth Against a Plastics Earnings Reset

Key Takeaways

  • OTTR stock has traded in a relatively tight range over the past 30 days, rising approximately 1.6% from $90.63 on June 26 to $92.09 as of July 27, 2026, with the stock recently touching a new 52-week high above $93.
  • The Electric segment continues to anchor the bull case, driven by a 10% rate base CAGR target, constructive rate case outcomes in Minnesota and South Dakota, and a $1.9 billion five-year capital investment plan.
  • Plastics segment earnings remain under pressure, with PVC pipe average selling prices down 19% year-over-year in Q1 2026 and further normalization expected through 2027.
  • Q1 2026 earnings of $1.73 per share handily beat the $1.42 consensus estimate, while full-year guidance of $5.22 to $5.62 per share was reaffirmed.
  • Analyst sentiment is mixed: consensus rating is Hold with an average price target near $90.50, while institutional investors — including Principal Financial Group and LSV Asset Management — have meaningfully increased their positions.
  • Second-quarter 2026 results are scheduled for release after the market closes on August 3, marking the next major catalyst for the stock.

Current Market Snapshot

Otter Tail Corporation shares have shown measured resilience through mid-2026, hovering near the upper end of their 52-week range of $74.15 to $95.00. The stock recently reached a new 52-week high of $93.00 on July 15 before settling back near the $92 level. With a price-to-earnings ratio of approximately 13.6, a beta of 0.45, and a dividend yield of roughly 2.6%, OTTR has attracted both income-oriented and value-conscious investors. The company's 50-day moving average of around $88.70 and 200-day moving average near $87.68 underscore a modest but steady uptrend. Broader utility-sector sentiment has been shaped by interest rate expectations and rotation into defensive names, while OTTR's diversified business mix — spanning regulated electric operations, manufacturing, and PVC plastics — sets it apart from pure-play utility peers.

Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) Business Overview and Competitive Position

Otter Tail Corporation is a diversified holding company headquartered in Fergus Falls, Minnesota, and a member of the S&P SmallCap 600 Index. The company operates through three distinct business segments. The Electric segment — anchored by subsidiary Otter Tail Power Company — generates, transmits, and distributes electricity to customers across western Minnesota, eastern North Dakota, and northeastern South Dakota, utilizing a generation mix that includes coal, natural gas, wind, and hydroelectric assets. The Manufacturing segment provides metal fabrication services and thermoformed plastic products from facilities in Georgia, Illinois, and Minnesota, serving end markets such as recreational vehicles, construction, agriculture, and industrial equipment. The Plastics segment produces PVC pipe primarily for municipal water infrastructure at plants in North Dakota and Arizona, with sales concentrated in the western United States and Canada. This three-legged structure provides OTTR with a unique competitive advantage: regulated utility earnings deliver predictable cash flows, while the manufacturing and plastics businesses generate incremental cash that helps fund rate base growth without external equity issuance through at least 2030.

Recent Developments Driving OTTR

Several verified events have shaped investor sentiment in recent weeks. On the operational front, OTTR completed a $230 million wind repowering project that upgraded turbines at four owned wind centers, expected to boost generation output by approximately 20%. The multi-year Vinyltech Phase 2 expansion in the Plastics segment was also completed on budget, adding 15% capacity and expanded raw material storage. On the regulatory front, Otter Tail Power secured approval for new base rates in South Dakota and implemented interim rates in Minnesota, while filing its Integrated Resource Plan — proposing a 50-megawatt natural gas plant and new wind generation facilities targeted for the 2031–2040 timeframe. In legal developments, the company reached settlements totaling approximately $74 million with two of three plaintiff classes in its PVC pipe antitrust litigation, with KeyBanc viewing the resolution as an incremental positive while noting the remaining claim still represents an overhang. The company also removed a 430-megawatt prospective large load from its pipeline due to permitting challenges and the absence of state tax incentives in South Dakota, though management noted it added approximately 500 megawatts of new prospects to the first phase of its pipeline. On the analyst front, Freedom Broker raised its price target to $95 from $90 following the Q1 beat, while Weiss Ratings upgraded OTTR to a Buy-equivalent rating in May. Conversely, Siebert Williams Shank downgraded the stock to Hold with an $86 target, and UBS maintained a Reduce rating.

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2026 Outlook and What Investors Should Watch

Looking ahead, OTTR's second-quarter earnings release on August 3, 2026 represents the most immediate catalyst. Consensus estimates project Q2 EPS of approximately $1.51, down from $1.85 in the prior-year quarter, reflecting the expected normalization in Plastics. Investors will scrutinize PVC pipe pricing trends, volume momentum across manufacturing end markets, and any updates to the 2026 full-year EPS guidance range of $5.22 to $5.62. The Minnesota rate case remains a critical regulatory milestone; the current evidence-gathering phase is expected to yield intervenor testimony in the second half of the year. On the macroeconomic front, PVC resin cost dynamics tied to Middle Eastern geopolitical developments could influence plastics margins, while interest rate movements will continue to affect utility-sector valuations and OTTR's financing costs. The company's transmission projects — including the Jamestown-to-Ellendale and Big Stone-to-Alexandria lines — face siting and permitting hurdles that warrant monitoring. Additionally, Otter Tail's ability to convert its growing large-load prospect pipeline into signed power service agreements will shape the long-term growth narrative beyond the already-committed $1.9 billion capital plan. With no external equity needed through at least 2030, a 56-year track record of consecutive dividends, and a targeted long-term total shareholder return of 10% to 12%, OTTR offers a distinctive blend of utility stability and diversified industrial exposure — though the path of Plastics earnings normalization remains the wildcard.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for OTTR with price predictions
Jul 27, 2026

OTTR in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on July 10, 2026

OTTR moved above its 50-day moving average on July 10, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 50 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on July 22, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on OTTR as a result. In of 88 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for OTTR just turned positive on July 16, 2026. Looking at past instances where OTTR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 53 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where OTTR advanced for three days, in of 318 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 182 cases where OTTR Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 61 cases where OTTR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where OTTR declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

OTTR broke above its upper Bollinger Band on July 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.026) is normal, around the industry mean (6.277). P/E Ratio (13.824) is within average values for comparable stocks, (76.143). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.934) is also within normal values, averaging (1.364). Dividend Yield (0.024) settles around the average of (0.032) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.952) is also within normal values, averaging (2.513).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. OTTR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

OTTR paid dividends on June 10, 2026

Otter Tail Corp OTTR Stock Dividends
А dividend of $0.58 per share was paid with a record date of June 10, 2026, and an ex-dividend date of May 15, 2026. Read more...
A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are 3M Company (NYSE:MMM), Honeywell International (NASDAQ:HON).

Industry description

Industrial Conglomerates specialize in numerous types of products, most of which comprise industrial goods, while some also go towards meeting household needs. Honeywell (makes engineering services and aerospace systems), United Technologies Corporation(manufactures aircraft engines, aerospace systems, HVAC, elevators and escalators, fire and security, building systems, and industrial products, among others), 3M (over 60,000 products under several world-renowned brands, including adhesives, abrasives, laminates, passive fire protection, personal protective equipment, window films, paint protection films, dental and orthodontic products, electrical & electronic connecting and insulating materials, medical products, car-care products, electronic circuits, healthcare software and optical films).

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Industrial Conglomerates Industry is 7.33B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 124.33K to 139.63B. HTHIY holds the highest valuation in this group at 139.63B. The lowest valued company is FSTF at 124.33K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Industrial Conglomerates Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -4%, and the average quarterly price growth was 6%. PLAG experienced the highest price growth at 25%, while TTI experienced the biggest fall at -13%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Industrial Conglomerates Industry was -24%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -83% and the average quarterly volume growth was -37%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 41
P/E Growth Rating: 51
Price Growth Rating: 54
SMR Rating: 75
Profit Risk Rating: 78
Seasonality Score: 23 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a company which engages in the electric, wind energy, manufacturing, construction and plastic businesses

Industry IndustrialConglomerates

Profile
Details
Industry
Electric Utilities
Address
215 South Cascade Street
Phone
+1 866 410-8780
Employees
2198
Web
https://www.ottertail.com
Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) Stock Analysis: Balancing Utility Growth Against a Plastics Earnings Reset