Ranpak Holdings Corp is a provider of environmentally sustainable, systems-based, product protection solutions for e-Commerce and industrial supply chains... Show more
Ranpak Holdings Corp. provides protective packaging and end-of-line automation solutions for e-commerce and industrial supply chains across North America, Europe, and Asia. The company is best known for its paper-based protective packaging systems, marketed under brands including FillPak for void-fill, PadPak for cushioning, and WrapPak and Geami for wrapping applications. It also supplies cold chain products used to insulate temperature-controlled goods in transit and a growing line of end-of-line automation equipment for distribution and shipping. Founded in 1972 and headquartered in Concord Township, Ohio, Ranpak sells primarily through a distributor network as well as directly to end users. Investors follow the stock for its positioning in sustainable, plastic-free packaging alternatives, its expanding automation business, and its emerging cold chain opportunity.
Over the last 30 days, PACK shares have declined approximately 22.7%, moving from a close near $4.37 in late September to roughly $3.38 in late October. The move extends a longer slide: over the trailing three months, the stock has shed roughly 35% from the low-$5 range, leaving it near the lower end of its 52-week range of $3.22 to $7.81. The shares carry a notably high beta of about 3.1, meaning daily moves tend to be amplified relative to the broader market, and the recent pattern reflects a sustained downtrend rather than a single-day event.
The sharpest pressure came from the third-quarter 2026 earnings release on October 29, 2026. Ranpak reported revenue of $101.9 million, up 2.3% year over year, but below the consensus estimate near $108.9 million, while the loss per share of $0.08 came in wider than analyst expectations. The results triggered a sharp intraday selloff, with shares falling by a double-digit percentage on elevated volume.
Beneath the headline miss, results were mixed. Automation equipment revenue grew 26.9% year over year on a constant-currency basis, and management reiterated a target of roughly $60 million in automation revenue for 2026. However, core protective packaging volumes declined 2.5% overall, as Europe and Asia-Pacific volumes fell 4.9% year over year amid channel destocking and cautious ordering, offsetting a 1.8% volume increase in North America. Macro conditions compounded the pressure: higher energy costs, oil prices above $100 a barrel, rising interest rates, and weak consumer confidence have made customers more deliberate about packaging spending. Analyst commentary turned more conservative as well, with at least one firm lowering its price target while maintaining a Buy rating.
The broader quarterly trend has been defined by a steady de-rating from the mid-year highs near $7.8 in June. A disappointing second-quarter report in late July accelerated the decline, and the stock drifted lower through August and September before the latest earnings miss. While automation has consistently been a bright spot, the company's installed base of protective packaging systems declined 1.9% year over year as management prioritized fleet utilization. Persistent GAAP losses, a heavy debt load, and a high-beta profile have left the shares vulnerable to a broader rotation away from small-cap and consumer-linked industrials during a period of elevated macro uncertainty.
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Looking ahead, several factors are likely to shape PACK shares. Seasonal fourth-quarter demand and the peak shipping period will test whether North America's recovery and the company's new cushioning and void-fill products can sustain momentum. Investors will monitor whether automation continues toward its full-year revenue target and whether Europe and Asia-Pacific volumes return to growth as channel inventories normalize. Energy and paper pricing, along with the temporary European surcharge, remain key margin variables. Longer term, the ramp of additional cold chain capacity in early 2027, with management expecting a meaningful contribution beginning in the second quarter of 2027, represents a potential growth catalyst. Finally, the path to sustained profitability, leverage levels, and any further analyst rating or price-target changes will be closely watched.
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PACK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 27, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 37 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In 33 of the 37 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at 89%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 29, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PACK as a result. In 52 of 67 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for PACK turned negative on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 36 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 30 of the 36 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 83%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PACK declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.
The Aroon Indicator for PACK entered a downward trend on November 04, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where PACK's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 30 of 40 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +7.88% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PACK advanced for three days, in 225 of 294 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 9 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 84 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.554) is normal, around the industry mean (1.369). PACK has a moderately low P/E Ratio (-7.636) as compared to the industry average of (16.726). PACK's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (5.860) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.023). PACK has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.031). P/S Ratio (0.780) is also within normal values, averaging (1.259).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 87 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. PACK’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 93 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. PACK’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a blank check company, which engages in a merger, stock exchange, asset acquisition, stock purchase, and recapitalization,
Industry ContainersPackaging