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Oct 05, 2022

SMART Global Holdings (SGH, $15.85) beats fiscal Q4 earnings expectations

SMART Global Holdings, Inc. posted adjusted earnings of $0.80 per share for the quarter ended August, well above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.65 per share. The figure, however, is lower than the year-ago quarter’s $1.08 per share.

The company’s revenues came in at $437.7 million, falling short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.53%. Revenues were $467.71 million a year ago.

Non-GAAP gross margins were 24.6% for the quarter.

Looking ahead, SMART expects net sales for the first quarter of fiscal 2023 in the range of approximately $425 million to $475 million, or approximately $450 million at the midpoint. It is projecting GAAP gross margin to be approximately 24.5% to 26.5%, and non-GAAP gross margin of 25.5% to 27.5%.  GAAP diluted earnings per share for the first quarter is expected to be around $0.14 (plus or minus $0.15), while non-GAAP diluted earnings per share are predicted to be approximately $0.60 (plus or minus $0.15), according to the company’s guidance.

Related Ticker: PENG

PENG in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on March 03, 2025

PENG may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 31 cases where PENG's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where PENG's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 28 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 57 cases where PENG's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PENG advanced for three days, in of 321 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 28, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PENG as a result. In of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for PENG turned negative on March 31, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 41 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

PENG moved below its 50-day moving average on February 27, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for PENG crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on March 06, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PENG declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for PENG entered a downward trend on March 20, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.403) is normal, around the industry mean (22.101). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (46.392). PENG's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (1.424). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.024) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.773) is also within normal values, averaging (14.393).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. PENG’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. PENG’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are International Business Machines Corp (NYSE:IBM), Accenture PLC (NYSE:ACN), Xerox Holdings Corp (NASDAQ:XRX), Unisys Corp (NYSE:UIS).

Industry description

The industry, whose total market cap runs into trillions, makes hardware/software that allows data to be stored, retrieved, transmitted, and manipulated on computers. With the ever-increasing relevance of data, the information technology (IT) industry has gained momentous growth over the years, and continues to thrive on innovation. Some of the behemoths in the industry are International Business Machines Corporation, Accenture, and VMware, Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Information Technology Services Industry is 9.72B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 0 to 231.8B. IBM holds the highest valuation in this group at 231.8B. The lowest valued company is ARSC at 0.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Information Technology Services Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -3%, and the average quarterly price growth was -1%. TTEC experienced the highest price growth at 51%, while TDTH experienced the biggest fall at -85%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Information Technology Services Industry was 20%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -27% and the average quarterly volume growth was 178%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 39
P/E Growth Rating: 65
Price Growth Rating: 60
SMR Rating: 73
Profit Risk Rating: 80
Seasonality Score: 0 (-100 ... +100)
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a manufacturer of memory chips

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