Procter & Gamble (PG, $142.62) posts fall in quarterly earnings amid slump in sales volume
Procter & Gamble Co. posted lower quarterly profit, amidst higher prices dampening sales volumes. It is among the first consumer product behemoths to report December quarter results.
For the three months ended Dec. 31, the company reported net income of $3.9 billion, or $1.59 per share, excluding items, lower than $4.22 billion, or $1.66 per share, a year earlier. The EPS were in line with analysts’ expectations (based on Refinitiv data).
Net sales fell -1% year-over-year to $20.77 billion, exceeding analysts' forecast of $20.73 billion.
P&G’s sales volumes decreased -6% in the three months ended Dec. 31 —the biggest quarterly drop in years. Each of the company’s five major business units underwent lower sales volume compared with a year earlier. P&G increased prices by +10% in the period, leading to a +5% growth in organic sales (which exclude currency fluctuations and acquisitions).
The company’s quarterly results were in line with consensus forecasts, according to estimates compiled by FactSet.
The Wall Street Journal reported that P&G finance chief Andre Schulten said that the company had anticipated the volume decreases and attributed half of the decline to a combination of P&G ending sales of all but essential items in Russia and retailer inventory reductions in the U.S., Europe and in China.
P&G projects growth in the consumer-products market will continue but slow to 3% to 4% growth, from a 5% to 6% range. Pricing is expected to continue to drive growth, while volumes are anticipated to decrease further, according to the company.
Momentum Indicator for PG turns negative, indicating new downward trend
PG saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on April 04, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 86 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 86 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day moving average for PG crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on March 25, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PG declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for PG entered a downward trend on April 15, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where PG's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 27 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 46 cases where PG's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PG just turned positive on April 14, 2025. Looking at past instances where PG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
PG moved above its 50-day moving average on April 17, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 50-day moving average for PG moved above the 200-day moving average on March 21, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PG advanced for three days, in of 360 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
PG may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.918) is normal, around the industry mean (17.380). P/E Ratio (26.898) is within average values for comparable stocks, (204.360). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.395) is also within normal values, averaging (3.832). Dividend Yield (0.023) settles around the average of (0.107) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.733) is also within normal values, averaging (116.662).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
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a provider of branded consumer packaged goods
Industry HouseholdPersonalCare