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Nov 28, 2023

$PM, $MO, $BTI, $VGR, $UVV Fuel Tobacco Sector's +17.55% Monthly Jump

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Tobacco Sector's Remarkable 17.55% Monthly Surge: A Deep Dive into Its Market Dynamics

In this blog, we explore the significant growth in the Tobacco sector, which has seen an impressive 17.55% gain over the past month. We'll analyze the performance of leading companies like $PM, $MO, and $BTI, focusing on market movements and the evolving landscape of tobacco and e-cigarette products.

Tickers in this Group:

$MO $PM $BTI $VGR $UVV $TPB $ISPR

βœ… Detailed Ticker Analysis

  1. $MO (Altria Group)

    • RSI Indicator: The recovery from oversold territory suggests a potential upward trend.
    • Stock Outlook: With a 61% probability of further growth, $MO appears poised for a rebound.
  2. $PM (Philip Morris International)

    • Momentum Indicator: A positive shift suggests new growth potential.
    • Market Position: $PM's current trajectory indicates a strong potential for continued growth.
  3. $BTI (British American Tobacco)

    • Uptrend Momentum: A consistent rise in price over three days signals bullish potential.
    • Trading Strategy: The stock's current performance suggests it could be a strategic choice for growth-focused portfolios.
  4. $VGR (Vector Group)

    • RSI Indicator: Emerging from oversold territory, indicating potential for upward movement.
    • Stock Performance: Given its recovery and positive indicators, $VGR might be a stock to watch.
  5. $UVV (Universal Corporation)

    • Moving Averages: The bullish crossover in MA indicates a potential upward trend.
    • Investment Outlook: With a high likelihood of continued growth, $UVV stands out as a promising investment.

🚬 Tobacco Sector Overview

The Tobacco industry, known for its production and distribution of tobacco and related products, is currently experiencing a notable uptick. This sector includes traditional tobacco products and emerging alternatives like e-cigarettes.

πŸ“ˆ Recent Market Movements The sector boasts a "Buy" rating, with a positive outlook supported by various market indicators. Let's delve into the elements contributing to this upswing:

πŸ’Ή Industry Dynamics

  • Positive Outlook: Backed by the Volume Indicator and Stock Fear & Greed Index, the sector's current sentiment is bullish.
  • Market Adaptation: Companies are adapting to changing consumer habits, including a shift towards vaping and e-cigarettes.

🌍 Global Marketing Efforts

  • Marketing Expenditure: In 2017, tobacco companies invested heavily in marketing, indicating their commitment to maintaining market presence.
  • Impact on Industry: These investments play a crucial role in shaping market trends and consumer preferences.

πŸ’° Market Capitalization

  • Varied Valuations: The sector's market cap ranges from $PM's staggering 146.5B to $VHUB's modest 160.4K.
  • Market Cap Movements: Such diversity in valuation underscores the sector's wide array of companies and market positions.

πŸ“‰ Price Movement Analysis

  • Weekly and Monthly Growth: An average monthly growth of 8.19% highlights the sector's strong performance.
  • Notable Price Changes: While $VPRB leads with a significant 20.55% increase, $XXII experienced a substantial drop, showcasing the sector's varied performance.

πŸ”Š Volume Insights

  • Volume Growth Trends: The fluctuation in weekly and monthly volume growth reflects active trading and investor interest in the sector.
  • Significant Volume Changes: Record-breaking volume growth in stocks like $TPB points to specific companies gaining investor attention.

πŸ“Š Fundamental Analysis Ratings

  • Comprehensive Ratings: An overview of various fundamental analysis ratings provides deeper insights into the sector's financial health.
  • Key Ratings: Strong ratings in Valuation, P/E Growth, and SMR suggest solid fundamentals underpinning the sector.

πŸ” Sector Outlook

The Tobacco sector, driven by companies like $PM, $MO, $BTI, $TPB, and $UVV, is experiencing a period of significant growth. This trend is fueled by strategic marketing efforts, product diversification, and evolving consumer preferences. As global health perspectives continue to influence tobacco consumption, this sector remains a complex yet potentially rewarding area for investment.

The Tobacco sector's recent performance is a testament to its adaptability and market resilience. With diverse market capitalizations, dynamic price movements, and solid fundamentals, this sector offers a range of opportunities for informed investment decisions. Keep an eye on these developments for strategic trading insights in this evolving industry. πŸŒŸπŸ“ˆ

Related Ticker: MO, PM, BTI, VGR, UVV, TPB, ISPR

MO in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on January 07, 2025

MO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 30 cases where MO's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where MO's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 27 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MO advanced for three days, in of 363 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on January 07, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MO as a result. In of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

MO moved below its 50-day moving average on December 23, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for MO crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on December 26, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for MO entered a downward trend on January 08, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (3.522). P/E Ratio (8.760) is within average values for comparable stocks, (12.605). MO's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.628) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.880). Dividend Yield (0.077) settles around the average of (0.063) among similar stocks. MO's P/S Ratio (4.423) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.797).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Philip Morris International (NYSE:PM), Altria Group (NYSE:MO).

Industry description

The industry is engaged in the growth, preparation for sale, advertisement, and distribution of tobacco and tobacco-related products like cigarettes. In 2017, tobacco companies spent an estimated $9.36 billion marketing cigarettes and smokeless tobacco in the U.S. – an amount that translates to more than $25 million each day (according to a CDC report). Philip Morris International Inc., Altria Group Inc., and British American Tobacco plc are some major cigar makers. In recent times, vaping or the use of e-cigarette (does not burn tobacco) is gaining momentum – several established cigarette makers are trying to expand their footprint in this new market.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Tobacco Industry is 23.09B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 9 to 189.05B. PM holds the highest valuation in this group at 189.05B. The lowest valued company is AHII at 9.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Tobacco Industry was 5%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 5%, and the average quarterly price growth was -11%. GRAM experienced the highest price growth at 85%, while CHUC experienced the biggest fall at -18%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Tobacco Industry was -15%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -15% and the average quarterly volume growth was 52%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 35
P/E Growth Rating: 62
Price Growth Rating: 61
SMR Rating: 68
Profit Risk Rating: 75
Seasonality Score: 12 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a manufacturer of cigarettes and other tobacco products

Industry Tobacco

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Tobacco
Address
677 Washington Boulevard
Phone
+1 203 905-2410
Employees
87200
Web
https://www.pmi.com