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PVBC
Stock ticker: NASDAQ
AS OF
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Capitalization
173.28M

PVBC Provident Bancorp Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

a regional bank

Industry RegionalBanks
Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for PVBC with price predictions
07:00 PM EST Nov 30, 2023

PVBC in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on November 24, 2023

The 10-day moving average for PVBC crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 24, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 15, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PVBC as a result. In of 111 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PVBC just turned positive on November 17, 2023. Looking at past instances where PVBC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 39 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

PVBC moved above its 50-day moving average on November 17, 2023 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PVBC advanced for three days, in of 271 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PVBC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

PVBC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 22, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PVBC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.796) is normal, around the industry mean (1.010). P/E Ratio (15.083) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.401). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.348). Dividend Yield (0.004) settles around the average of (0.045) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.328) is also within normal values, averaging (2.568).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. PVBC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock worse than average.

A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Itau Unibanco Holding SA (NYSE:ITUB), US Bancorp (NYSE:USB), PNC Financial Services Group (NYSE:PNC), Banco Bradesco SA (NYSE:BBD), Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft (NYSE:DB), Huntington Bancshares (NASDAQ:HBAN), Regions Financial Corp (NYSE:RF), KeyCorp (NYSE:KEY), Veritex Holdings (NASDAQ:VBTX).

Industry description

Regional banks have a smaller reach than major banks, and cater mostly to one region of a country, such as a state or within a group of states. They offer services often similar – albeit with some limitations/smaller scale – compared to major banks. Taking deposits, making loans, mortgages, leases, credit cards , fund management, insurance and investment banking. SunTrust Banks, State Street Corp., M&T Bank Corp. are some examples of U.S. regional banks.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Regional Banks Industry is 5.55B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 10.73K to 139.25B. HDB holds the highest valuation in this group at 139.25B. The lowest valued company is ACBCQ at 10.73K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Regional Banks Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 7%, and the average quarterly price growth was 7%. SIVBQ experienced the highest price growth at 101%, while FSTF experienced the biggest fall at -72%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Regional Banks Industry was 185%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 20% and the average quarterly volume growth was -8%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 65
Price Growth Rating: 49
SMR Rating: 37
Profit Risk Rating: 79
Seasonality Score: 24 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

PVBC is expected to report earnings to fall 33.33% to 10 cents per share on January 25

Provident Bancorp PVBC Stock Earnings Reports
Q4'23
Est.
$0.10
Q3'23
Beat
by $0.03
Q2'23
Beat
by $0.06
Q1'23
Missed
by $0.03
Q4'22
Beat
by $0.03
The last earnings report on October 27 showed earnings per share of 15 cents, beating the estimate of 11 cents. With 48.51K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 173.28M.
A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

PVBC paid dividends on August 26, 2022

Provident Bancorp PVBC Stock Dividends
А dividend of $0.04 per share was paid with a record date of August 26, 2022, and an ex-dividend date of August 11, 2022. Read more...
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a regional bank

Industry RegionalBanks

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Regional Banks
Address
5 Market Street
Phone
+1 978 834-8555
Employees
204
Web
https://www.bankprov.com
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PVBC and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PVBC has been loosely correlated with PACW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 50% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if PVBC jumps, then PACW could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To PVBC
1D Price
Change %
PVBC100%
+1.54%
PACW - PVBC
50%
Loosely correlated
N/A
PACWP - PVBC
46%
Loosely correlated
N/A
WAL - PVBC
45%
Loosely correlated
+7.11%
TFC - PVBC
45%
Loosely correlated
+3.52%
ZION - PVBC
45%
Loosely correlated
+7.55%
More

Groups containing PVBC

Correlation & Price change

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To PVBC
1D Price
Change %
PVBC100%
+1.54%
banks
(undefined stocks)
45%
Loosely correlated
+3.42%
regional banks
(undefined stocks)
45%
Loosely correlated
+3.92%