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REAL
Stock ticker: NASDAQ
AS OF
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Price
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Capitalization
218.58M

REAL RealReal (The) Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

an online luxury consignment site, which engages in the consignment of luxury goods across multiple categories, including women's, men's, kids', jewelry, and watches, and home and art.

Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for REAL with price predictions
08:00 PM EDT Sep 21, 2023

Momentum Indicator for REAL turns negative, indicating new downward trend

REAL saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on September 13, 2023. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 75 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 75 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for REAL turned negative on September 12, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 38 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

REAL moved below its 50-day moving average on September 12, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for REAL crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 19, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 11 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where REAL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

REAL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 01, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for REAL entered a downward trend on August 17, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where REAL advanced for three days, in of 242 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. REAL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.838) is normal, around the industry mean (5.386). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (46.864). REAL's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.011). REAL has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.025). P/S Ratio (0.368) is also within normal values, averaging (3.864).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. REAL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 69, placing this stock worse than average.

A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Capri Holdings Limited (NYSE:CPRI), Signet Jewelers Limited (NYSE:SIG), RealReal (The) (NASDAQ:REAL).

Industry description

‘Other Consumer Specialties’ represents an industry that typically sells durable consumer products, but do not have a classification in another category. The products include jewelry, smoke detectors, watches, collectibles and safety products. MSA Safety (makes products which enhances the safety and health of workers and protect facility infrastructures), Matthews International (memorialization business), Fitbit (makes wireless-enabled wearable technology devices that gauge data such as the number of steps walked, heart rate, quality of sleep), and Fossil Group (makes watches and accessories) have some of the largest market caps in this group.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Other Consumer Specialties Industry is 44.81B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.62K to 466.87B. LVMUY holds the highest valuation in this group at 466.87B. The lowest valued company is FJHL at 1.62K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Other Consumer Specialties Industry was -3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -3%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8%. CJEWY experienced the highest price growth at 3%, while JEWL experienced the biggest fall at -21%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Other Consumer Specialties Industry was -61%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -2% and the average quarterly volume growth was -0%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 56
P/E Growth Rating: 63
Price Growth Rating: 60
SMR Rating: 67
Profit Risk Rating: 68
Seasonality Score: -26 (-100 ... +100)
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Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

REAL is expected to report earnings to fall 5.10% to -28 cents per share on November 06

RealReal (The) REAL Stock Earnings Reports
Q3'23
Est.
$-0.28
Q2'23
Beat
by $0.09
Q1'23
Beat
by $0.10
Q4'22
Beat
by $0.09
Q3'22
Beat
by $0.07
The last earnings report on August 08 showed earnings per share of -30 cents, beating the estimate of -38 cents. With 1.41M shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 218.58M.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

an online luxury consignment site, which engages in the consignment of luxury goods across multiple categories, including women's, men's, kids', jewelry, and watches, and home and art.

Industry OtherConsumerSpecialties

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
N/A
Address
55 Francisco Street
Phone
+1 855 435-5893
Employees
3468
Web
https://www.therealreal.com
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REAL and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, REAL has been loosely correlated with TPR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 53% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if REAL jumps, then TPR could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To REAL
1D Price
Change %
REAL100%
-1.38%
TPR - REAL
53%
Loosely correlated
-1.77%
CPRI - REAL
50%
Loosely correlated
+0.02%
MOV - REAL
48%
Loosely correlated
-2.36%
SIG - REAL
45%
Loosely correlated
-0.34%
FOSL - REAL
37%
Loosely correlated
-3.85%
More

Groups containing REAL

Correlation & Price change

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To REAL
1D Price
Change %
REAL100%
-1.38%
Consumer Durables
(undefined stocks)
44%
Loosely correlated
-0.25%
Other Consumer Specialties
(undefined stocks)
36%
Loosely correlated
+0.17%