RFL Rafael Holdings Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

RFL in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on December 18, 2024

RFL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 33 cases where RFL's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 61 cases where RFL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on December 20, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on RFL as a result. In of 97 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

RFL moved above its 50-day moving average on December 20, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RFL advanced for three days, in of 231 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for RFL turned negative on December 17, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RFL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for RFL entered a downward trend on November 21, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. RFL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.410) is normal, around the industry mean (3.550). P/E Ratio (17.500) is within average values for comparable stocks, (59.273). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.670). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.056) among similar stocks. RFL's P/S Ratio (151.515) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (9.888).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. RFL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock worse than average.