RLI RLI Corp Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

RLI's RSI Indicator remains in oversold zone for 1 day

It is expected that a price bounce should occur soon.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RLI advanced for three days, in of 322 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

RLI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on December 26, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on RLI as a result. In of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

RLI moved below its 50-day moving average on December 30, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for RLI crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on December 31, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RLI declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for RLI entered a downward trend on January 08, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 53, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. RLI’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: RLI's P/B Ratio (4.769) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.121). P/E Ratio (22.313) is within average values for comparable stocks, (31.462). RLI's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.023). RLI has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.007) as compared to the industry average of (0.031). RLI's P/S Ratio (4.460) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.436).