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ROST
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ROST stock forecast, quote, news & analysis

Ross Stores, founded in 1982, is a US-focused off-price apparel and home fashion retailer operating more than 2,100 stores across 43 states, primarily under the Ross Dress for Less banner, with a smaller footprint through dd’s Discounts... Show more

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ROST
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 05, 2026

Ross Stores (ROST) Stock Analysis: Off-Price Retail Holds Steady in a Tight Range

Key Takeaways

  • Ross Stores (ROST) closed near $228.54, roughly 1% below its level from 30 days earlier, reflecting a period of consolidation rather than a sharp repricing.
  • The stock traded in a relatively narrow band of approximately $222 to $237 during the review period, signaling balanced but cautious investor sentiment.
  • Ross Stores is the largest off-price apparel and home fashion retailer in the United States, operating the Ross Dress for Less and dd's DISCOUNTS chains.
  • Value-seeking consumer behavior continues to support the off-price model, while broader macroeconomic and cost pressures remain key watch items.
  • Forward-looking catalysts include comparable-store sales, merchandise margins, inventory availability, and the pace of new store openings.

Current Market Snapshot

Ross Stores shares have settled into a rangebound pattern, ending the most recent session near $228.54 with a single-session decline of about 2.4%. Over the trailing 30 days, the stock drifted roughly 1% lower, a modest move that sits well below the threshold of a major trend shift. This sideways action suggests investors are weighing the durability of consumer spending against a more uncertain macroeconomic backdrop, without yet committing to a decisive directional move in either direction.

Within the consumer discretionary sector, Ross Stores occupies a defensive niche. Off-price retailers historically perform relatively well when households become more budget-conscious, and ROST's stability in the current tape reflects that positioning. Still, the absence of a strong catalyst has kept the stock from breaking decisively above its recent trading range.

Ross Stores (ROST) Business Overview and Competitive Position

Ross Stores, headquartered in Dublin, California, is a leading off-price retailer that purchases excess inventory and closeout merchandise directly from manufacturers and other retailers, then sells it to consumers at significant discounts to department and specialty store prices. The company operates two store concepts: Ross Dress for Less, its flagship chain offering apparel, footwear, accessories, and home goods, and dd's DISCOUNTS, a smaller format geared toward more value-oriented shoppers.

The company's competitive strength lies in its opportunistic buying model, which allows it to secure in-season, brand-name merchandise at favorable costs and pass savings on to customers. This "treasure hunt" shopping experience, combined with a low-cost operating structure and disciplined inventory management, has supported consistent store growth and strong free cash flow generation. Because Ross Stores can flex its merchandise mix quickly, it is generally less exposed to fashion risk than full-price apparel retailers.

Recent Developments Driving ROST

Over the past 30 days, ROST has moved without a single dominant catalyst, instead consolidating after earlier periods of fluctuation. The stock's dip of about 1% coincided with broader choppiness in the retail sector, where investors have been recalibrating expectations around consumer demand, freight and import costs, and the pace of discretionary spending.

From a sector standpoint, off-price peers such as TJX and BURL remain closely watched benchmarks, and Ross Stores continues to benefit from a consumer environment in which shoppers increasingly seek value. At the same time, discussions around tariff-related cost pressures on imported goods have kept some investors cautious about margin trajectories across the retail space. With no major company-specific announcements dominating the period, ROST's price action has largely tracked sector-level sentiment and macroeconomic headlines.

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2026 Outlook and What Investors Should Watch

Looking ahead, investors are likely to focus on several fundamental drivers for Ross Stores. Comparable-store sales growth will remain a central metric, reflecting how effectively the company is converting bargain-hunting traffic into purchases. Merchandise margins and inventory availability will also be closely scrutinized, particularly given ongoing attention to import costs and supply-chain dynamics. The company's store expansion program represents another long-term growth lever, as management continues to add Ross Dress for Less and dd's DISCOUNTS locations across key markets.

Broader themes will shape sentiment as well. Consumer confidence, employment conditions, and discretionary income trends directly influence traffic at off-price retailers. Competitive dynamics with other off-price and discount formats, along with any regulatory or tariff developments affecting imported goods, could introduce additional variability. While the off-price model has historically demonstrated resilience across economic cycles, investors should monitor quarterly earnings and guidance updates for confirmation of demand trends rather than relying on short-term price movements alone.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for ROST with price predictions
Oct 09, 2026

ROST in -1.38% downward trend, declining for three consecutive days on October 09, 2026

Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where ROST declined for three days, in 157 of 295 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ROST as a result. In 39 of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 46%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ROST turned negative on October 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 24 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 50%.

The Aroon Indicator for ROST entered a downward trend on September 25, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +0.72% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ROST advanced for three days, in 215 of 345 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 14 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 24 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 24 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ROST’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: ROST's P/B Ratio (11.236) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (3.366). P/E Ratio (28.669) is within average values for comparable stocks, (154.317). ROST's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.542) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (0.517). Dividend Yield (0.007) settles around the average of (0.013) among similar stocks. ROST's P/S Ratio (2.952) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (0.652).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

ROST paid dividends on September 30, 2026

Ross Stores ROST Stock Dividends
А dividend of $0.44 per share was paid with a record date of September 30, 2026, and an ex-dividend date of September 08, 2026. Read more...
A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX), lululemon athletica (NASDAQ:LULU), Gap Inc (The) (NYSE:GAP), Abercrombie & Fitch Co (NYSE:ANF), Stitch Fix (NASDAQ:SFIX).

Industry description

Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry is 8.75B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 131.6K to 189.04B. IDEXF holds the highest valuation in this group at 189.04B. The lowest valued company is DESTQ at 131.6K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -3%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8%. RENT experienced the highest price growth at 14%, while MYSZ experienced the biggest fall at -22%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was -23%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -52% and the average quarterly volume growth was -18%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 44
P/E Growth Rating: 56
Price Growth Rating: 60
SMR Rating: 64
Profit Risk Rating: 86
Seasonality Score: 40 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

an operator of discount clothing chains & sells closeout merchandise

Industry ApparelFootwearRetail

Industry
Apparel Or Footwear Retail
Address
5130 Hacienda Drive
Phone
+1 925 965-4400
Employees
111000
Web
https://www.rossstores.com
Ross Stores (ROST) Stock Analysis: Off-Price Retail Holds Steady in a Tight Range