Why Saia, Inc. (SAIA) Is Up +31% in the Last 30 Days
Key Takeaways
- SAIA stock surged +31% over the last 30 days, rebounding sharply from mid-March lows amid positive analyst upgrades and improving LTL (less-than-truckload) sector sentiment.
- Over the past quarter, shares rose +20%, recovering from early-year volume softness and a Q4 earnings miss through yield gains and market recovery.
- Key drivers include recent analyst upgrades like Wolfe Research's shift to outperform and stabilizing freight demand metrics.
- Q4 2025 results showed record revenue but EPS (earnings per share) miss due to higher costs and tonnage declines.
- Upcoming Q1 2026 earnings on April 30 will be pivotal for tonnage and yield trends.
Saia, Inc. (SAIA) Company Overview and Market Position
Saia, Inc. is a leading transportation company specializing in less-than-truckload (LTL) services across North America. LTL freight involves consolidating smaller shipments from multiple customers into a single trailer, offering cost-effective solutions for regional and interregional shipping. With over 213 terminals and approximately 15,000 employees, Saia focuses on time-sensitive deliveries, emphasizing operational efficiency and customer service.
In the competitive LTL industry, Saia holds a strong regional position, benefiting from network density and yield management. Its fundamentals, including a trailing twelve-month EPS of $9.50 and market cap of $11.3 billion, underpin resilience amid freight cycles. Recent stock price movement reflects sensitivity to tonnage volumes and pricing power, key to its business model.
Saia, Inc. (SAIA) Stock Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter
Over the last 30 days, SAIA stock climbed +31%, from a close of $322.63 on March 18, 2026, to $422.56 on April 16, 2026. The move was volatile and trend-driven, with a low of $318.63 on March 20 and a high of $423.81 on April 16, signaling a strong rebound.
For the quarter, shares advanced +20% from $350.89 on January 16, 2026, to the recent $422.56 close. Performance featured early dips to mid-March lows before a steady uptrend, influenced by sector dynamics.
What Drove SAIA Stock Price in the Last 30 Days
The 30-day rally stemmed primarily from favorable analyst sentiment shifts. Wolfe Research upgraded SAIA to outperform from peer perform on April 7, 2026, citing its positioning in transports. Stifel raised its price target to $381 on April 16, supporting momentum. These upgrades countered March concerns over soft Q1 tonnage data, down 4.8% year-over-year through early quarter.
Improving LTL market trends and yield pricing also bolstered confidence, driving the stock from March lows. Broader freight sector recovery amid stabilizing industrial demand contributed to the upward price movement.
What Drove SAIA Stock Performance Over the Last Quarter
The quarterly +20% gain reflected recovery from Q4 2025 earnings disappointment on February 10, 2026, where revenue hit a record $790 million (+0.1%) but EPS fell to $1.77, missing estimates by $0.13 amid 36.9% operating income drop from higher costs and 1.5% tonnage decline. Yield rose 1.6%, cushioning impacts.
January tonnage weakness (-7%) pressured shares further, but sequential improvements and analyst adjustments like BofA's neutral maintain fueled rebound. Macro freight demand stabilization and competitive LTL positioning sustained the uptrend, with institutional interest evident in volume.
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SAIA Stock Forecast Drivers: What Investors Should Watch Next
Investors should monitor Q1 2026 earnings on April 30, 2026, for updates on tonnage, yield, and guidance amid LTL freight volatility. Ongoing industry trends like network expansions and pricing discipline will influence sentiment. Macro factors, including industrial production, fuel costs, and economic indicators, remain key. Analyst revisions and institutional flows could sway price movement. Risks include persistent volume softness or cost inflation, while catalysts like strategic partnerships or capacity investments merit attention.
Disclaimer
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SAIA's RSI Indicator peaks and leaves overbought zone
The 10-day RSI Indicator for SAIA moved out of overbought territory on April 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 34 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 34 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 61 cases where SAIA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SAIA turned negative on June 03, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SAIA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on May 13, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SAIA as a result. In of 91 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SAIA advanced for three days, in of 333 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 230 cases where SAIA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. SAIA’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 70, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.726) is normal, around the industry mean (3.746). P/E Ratio (49.003) is within average values for comparable stocks, (163.057). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.537) is also within normal values, averaging (37.628). SAIA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.010). P/S Ratio (3.842) is also within normal values, averaging (2.097).
Industry description
Market Cap
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Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
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General Information
a provider of multi-regional less-than-truckload carrier services
Industry Trucking