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SAM Stock Boston Beer (SAM, $291.07) Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) Histogram turned negative on November 1, 2024

A.I.dvisor
at Tickeron.com
11/02/24
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SAM - Boston Beer Company
MACD signal
Bearish Trend
Odds of DOWN Trend
Tickeron
MACD signal
Price: $291.07
Daily change: $0 (0%)
Daily volume: 1
Capitalization: $3.4B
Industry: Beverages: Alcoholic
This is a Bearish indicator signaling SAM's price could decline from here. Traders may explore shorting the stock or put options. A.I. dvisor identified 53 similar cases where SAM's MACD histogram became negative, and of them led to successful outcomes. Odds of Success:

SAM sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line

SAM saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on November 01, 2024. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 53 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for SAM moved out of overbought territory on October 25, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 33 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 33 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 48 cases where SAM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 31, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SAM as a result. In of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SAM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

SAM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 18, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

SAM moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for SAM crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 30, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SAM advanced for three days, in of 317 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SAM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.355) is normal, around the industry mean (3.922). P/E Ratio (48.422) is within average values for comparable stocks, (28.956). SAM's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.156) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.099). SAM has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.024). P/S Ratio (1.835) is also within normal values, averaging (6.048).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SAM’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.

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General Information

a producer of craft-brewed beer

Industry BeveragesAlcoholic

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Beverages Alcoholic
Address
One Design Center Place
Phone
+1 617 368-5000
Employees
2793
Web
https://www.bostonbeer.com