SE stock forecast, quote, news & analysis
Sea started as a gaming business, Garena, but in 2015 expanded into e-commerce... Show more
Why Sea Limited (SE) Stock Is Down -14.5% in the Last 30 Days
Key Takeaways
- Sea Limited (SE) shares declined roughly 14.5% over the trailing 30 days, retreating from the elevated levels reached after its second-quarter earnings report.
- The pullback followed a sharp summer rally, and the stock remains up about 11.5% over the trailing quarter, underscoring a consolidation rather than a collapse in fundamentals.
- Second-quarter revenue rose 48% year over year to $7.8 billion, but adjusted EPS of $0.70 missed consensus, and management flagged foreign-exchange headwinds for the second half.
- Core growth engines stayed intact: Shopee gross merchandise volume (GMV) grew 28% to $38.3 billion, and the SeaMoney loan book rose about 62% to $11.1 billion with a stable 1.0% 90-day NPL ratio.
- Investor focus now shifts to third-quarter results and whether Shopee sustains its roughly 25% full-year GMV growth target.
Sea Limited (SE) Company Overview and Market Position
Sea Limited is a Singapore-based global consumer internet company listed on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker SE. It operates three interconnected businesses: Shopee, an e-commerce marketplace serving Southeast Asia, Taiwan, Brazil, and other emerging markets; Garena, a digital entertainment arm anchored by the globally popular mobile game Free Fire; and SeaMoney, a digital financial services platform providing payments and consumer and small-business credit. Investors follow SE for its exposure to fast-growing emerging-market e-commerce and fintech, as well as its steady progress toward profitability across all three segments.
Sea Limited (SE) Stock Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter
Over the trailing 30 days, SE declined about 14.5%, from a closing price of $119.10 on August 19 to $101.79 by the most recent session. Within that window, the stock briefly attempted to reclaim higher ground near $123 in late August before selling pressure resumed and accelerated in mid-September.
The picture looks different over the full quarter. Measured from a late-June close of $91.28, the shares are still up roughly 11.5%. The stock rallied through July and into the second-quarter earnings release, reaching an intraday high near $131.51 on August 11, before giving back a meaningful portion of those gains. In short, the recent decline is best understood as a retracement from a strong, news-driven run-up rather than a sustained downtrend.
What Drove SE Stock Price in the Last 30 Days
The 30-day decline largely reflects a digestion of the post-earnings surge. SE climbed roughly 9.6% in premarket trading after reporting second-quarter results on August 11, as investors focused on revenue growth and improving margins, then progressively gave back those gains over the following weeks.
Several factors from the report and earnings call contributed to the cooling sentiment. Revenue of $7.8 billion topped estimates, but adjusted EPS of $0.70 came in below consensus, a mixed signal that weighed on momentum. Management also highlighted foreign-exchange headwinds, noting that weaker local currencies against the U.S. dollar could pressure GMV growth in the second half. Separately, provisions for credit losses rose in the quarter due to a higher mix of off-Shopee SPayLater and Brazil lending, which raised questions about the pace and quality of SeaMoney's expansion.
Beyond company-specific items, the pullback also reflected broader positioning. After a rapid advance of more than 40% from the late-June low to the August peak, the stock was vulnerable to profit-taking and mean reversion, particularly as investors reassessed emerging-market growth names in a more cautious macro environment.
What Drove SE Stock Performance Over the Last Quarter
The quarterly gain of roughly 11.5% was powered by a mid-summer rally into and through second-quarter earnings. The results reinforced the core growth narrative: Shopee GMV rose 28% to $38.3 billion, marking eight consecutive quarters of sequential growth, while ad revenue climbed more than 70% year over year. SeaMoney's loan book expanded about 62% to $11.1 billion while the 90-day non-performing-loan ratio held at 1.0%. Garena posted bookings of $763.5 million, up 15.5%, anchored by Free Fire, which continues to draw more than 100 million average daily active users.
Management reiterated its goal of more than $1 billion in Shopee adjusted EBITDA for 2026 and reaffirmed a full-year GMV growth outlook of around 25%, even as it acknowledged currency and comparison-base challenges. This combination of accelerating revenue, improving unit economics, and a disciplined approach to credit and capital spending supported the quarter's advance before the recent consolidation took hold.
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SE Stock Forecast Drivers: What Investors Should Watch Next
The next key catalyst is Sea Limited's third-quarter 2026 earnings release, expected in mid-November. Investors will be watching whether Shopee's GMV growth stays on track for the company's roughly 25% full-year target, how foreign-exchange movements affect reported results, and whether advertising take rates and fulfillment economics continue to improve. On the fintech side, the trajectory of the SeaMoney loan book, credit-loss provisions, and the 90-day NPL ratio will be closely scrutinized. For Garena, the performance of Free Fire and the reception of new titles such as Palworld Online and Monster Hunter Outlanders could shape sentiment. Broader considerations include competitive dynamics in Brazil and Southeast Asia, emerging-market consumer spending, and currency volatility, all of which can influence both fundamentals and the stock's valuation. These factors are informational and do not constitute financial advice.
Disclaimer
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SE in -2.27% downward trend, falling for three consecutive days on September 11, 2026
Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where SE declined for three days, in 267 of 320 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for SE moved out of overbought territory on August 13, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 26 of the 38 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 68%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 25, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SE as a result. In 58 of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SE turned negative on August 19, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 34 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 68%.
SE moved below its 50-day moving average on September 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for SE crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 14, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 7 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 54%.
The Aroon Indicator for SE entered a downward trend on September 18, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 12 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
The 50-day moving average for SE moved above the 200-day moving average on August 26, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a +0.40% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SE advanced for three days, in 258 of 317 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 81 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.829) is normal, around the industry mean (59.865). P/E Ratio (39.301) is within average values for comparable stocks, (39.826). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.979) is also within normal values, averaging (1.802). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.017) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.379) is also within normal values, averaging (1.321).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 96 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a provider of online gaming services
Industry InternetRetail