SFST Stock Southern First Bancshares (SFST, $61.28) Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) Histogram turned negative on September 16, 2026
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This is a Bearish indicator signaling SFST's price could decline from here. Traders may explore shorting the stock or put options. A.I. dvisor identified 48 similar cases where SFST's MACD histogram became negative, and of them led to successful outcomes. Odds of Success:
SFST's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for SFST entered a downward trend on September 11, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 245 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 201 of the 245 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 82%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 33 of 56 cases where SFST's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 17, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SFST as a result. In 58 of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SFST turned negative on September 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 31 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 65%.
SFST moved below its 50-day moving average on September 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SFST declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The 10-day moving average for SFST crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 10, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 7 of 10 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
Following a +1.77% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SFST advanced for three days, in 192 of 299 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SFST’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 66 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 79 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SFST’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 55, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 83 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.294) is normal, around the industry mean (1.350). P/E Ratio (13.292) is within average values for comparable stocks, (24.008). SFST's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.330) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.632). SFST has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.031). P/S Ratio (3.925) is also within normal values, averaging (3.747).