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SJM
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The J. M. Smucker Company (SJM) Stock Analysis: Earnings on the Horizon as Cash Flow Strengthens

Key Takeaways

  • The J. M. Smucker Company is set to report fiscal 2026 fourth-quarter results on June 9, 2026, following a recent upgrade to its full-year outlook.
  • Improved free cash flow projections and e-commerce expansion have supported recent sentiment around the packaged foods leader.
  • Investors are monitoring input cost pressures and volume trends in core categories like coffee, pet food, and spreads.
  • A regular quarterly dividend of $1.10 per share was paid on June 1, 2026.
  • Analyst consensus remains generally constructive, with focus on comparable sales guidance for the year.

Current Market Snapshot

In recent weeks, The J. M. Smucker Company shares have traded within a measured range amid broader market volatility in the consumer staples sector. The stock has reflected steady interest in defensive food and beverage names, supported by the company’s diversified portfolio spanning coffee, pet foods, and snacking. Trading volumes have remained consistent with typical levels for the name, while investor attention has centered on upcoming earnings and the company’s ability to navigate cost inflation. Overall market positioning appears balanced as participants await fresh data on sales trends and margin performance.

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Recent Developments Driving SJM Price Action

Over the past 30 days, the primary catalyst for The J. M. Smucker Company has been the May 12 announcement that the company will release its fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 results on June 9. The pre-release materials, including financial statements and pre-recorded management commentary, are scheduled for 7:00 a.m. Eastern Time, followed by a live question-and-answer session at 9:00 a.m. Expectations include a year-over-year increase in adjusted earnings per share and modest revenue growth, though analysts have flagged potential headwinds from higher input costs in commodities such as coffee beans and packaging materials.

Earlier in the period, on April 16, the board declared a regular quarterly dividend of $1.10 per share, which was paid on June 1 to shareholders of record as of May 15. This payout reinforced the company’s commitment to returning capital amid a stable cash-generation profile. The dividend announcement coincided with confirmation of the annual shareholder meeting date for August 12, 2026, to be held virtually.

Market participants have also noted an upgraded fiscal 2026 outlook, driven by stronger-than-expected free cash flow and continued momentum in e-commerce channels. The company’s guidance for the year includes net sales growth in the low single digits and free cash flow of approximately $875 million. These updates have helped offset earlier concerns about volume elasticity following price increases in the coffee segment.

Industry-wide factors, including ongoing tariff discussions and inflationary pressures on raw materials, have contributed to cautious sentiment. No major acquisitions, divestitures, or regulatory actions specific to The J. M. Smucker Company were reported in the window, keeping focus squarely on operational execution and the upcoming earnings release. Price action has generally tracked broader staples sector movements, with incremental gains observed in sessions following positive commentary on cash flow and digital sales channels.

2026 Outlook and Key Factors to Monitor

As The J. M. Smucker Company advances through fiscal 2026, investors will track several structural themes. Continued expansion of e-commerce capabilities and direct-to-consumer initiatives could support top-line resilience across the coffee, pet food, and spreads businesses. Management’s emphasis on cost discipline and supply-chain efficiency will remain central, particularly given exposure to commodity price fluctuations and potential tariff impacts.

Longer-term growth drivers include brand innovation in high-margin categories and optimization of the post-Hostess Brands portfolio integration. Monitoring comparable sales trends, gross margin progression, and free cash flow conversion will provide insight into operational health. Additionally, shifts in consumer spending patterns within packaged foods and any updates to capital allocation priorities, such as share repurchases or further dividend adjustments, warrant attention. Regulatory developments around labeling or sustainability standards in the food industry could also influence strategic planning.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SJM with price predictions
Jun 26, 2026

Aroon Indicator for SJM shows an upward move is likely

SJM's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on June 24, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 223 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 223 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SJM advanced for three days, in of 295 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for SJM moved out of overbought territory on June 17, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 34 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 34 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 64 cases where SJM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 24, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SJM as a result. In of 95 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SJM turned negative on June 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SJM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

SJM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.062) is normal, around the industry mean (4.794). P/E Ratio (22.053) is within average values for comparable stocks, (34.854). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.169) is also within normal values, averaging (2.835). Dividend Yield (0.041) settles around the average of (0.063) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.264) is also within normal values, averaging (8.437).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. SJM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SJM’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

SJM paid dividends on June 01, 2026

JM Smucker Company (The) SJM Stock Dividends
А dividend of $1.10 per share was paid with a record date of June 01, 2026, and an ex-dividend date of May 15, 2026. Read more...
A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Kraft Heinz Company (The) (NASDAQ:KHC), General Mills (NYSE:GIS), The Campbell's Company (NASDAQ:CPB), Beyond Meat (NASDAQ:BYND).

Industry description

Companies in this industry usually make a diverse range of agricultural and/or processed food. Some prominent names in this segment are Mondelez International, which makes chocolates, biscuits, cookies etc. The Kraft Heinz Company specializes in ketchups, sauces, fruit drink pouches and many more. General Mills, Inc. sells flour and cereal. Kellogg is famous for its snacks and breakfast cereal. And so on down the line. As more and more consumers are looking for healthier options in food in recent years, several legacy food companies have responded by revamping brands to include organic and no-added-sugar versions, and/or acquiring healthy food firms, and even streamlining operations.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Food: Major Diversified Industry is 3.03B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 68.52K to 255.67B. NSRGY holds the highest valuation in this group at 255.67B. The lowest valued company is THRC at 68.52K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Food: Major Diversified Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -1%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9%. BRBR experienced the highest price growth at 22%, while PAVS experienced the biggest fall at -51%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Food: Major Diversified Industry was -43%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 108% and the average quarterly volume growth was 190%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 47
P/E Growth Rating: 66
Price Growth Rating: 62
SMR Rating: 78
Profit Risk Rating: 92
Seasonality Score: 16 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a producer of fruit spreads, peanut butter and other food products

Industry FoodMajorDiversified

Profile
Details
Industry
Food Specialty Or Candy
Address
One Strawberry Lane
Phone
+1 330 682-3000
Employees
5800
Web
https://www.jmsmucker.com
The J. M. Smucker Company (SJM) Stock Analysis: Earnings on the Horizon as Cash Flow Strengthens