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Vitalii Liubimov's Avatar
published in Blogs
Aug 06, 2019

Tanger Outlet Centers (SKY) hits upper rail of downward sloped channel ahead of earnings

Tanger Outlet Centers (NYSE: SKT) is set to announce second quarter earnings results on Wednesday, July 31. The company is expected to earn $0.24 per share on the quarter and that matches the earnings from the second quarter of 2018.

The stock has been trending lower for several years now, but the last six months really caught my attention. A trend channel has formed that has defined the various swings within the overall trend. The stock just hit the upper rail of the channel and it is hitting resistance from its 50-day moving average as well.

The daily stochastic readings just hit overbought territory this week and they made a bearish crossover on July 29.

The Tickeron Trend Prediction Engine generated a bearish signal for Tanger on July 26. It showed a confidence level of 88% and it calls for a decline of at least 4% within the coming month. Past predictions on the stock have been successful 72% of the time.

The company has seen its earnings decline at a rate of 45% per year over the last three years. First quarter earnings were down 5% from the previous year and analysts expect 2019 earnings to drop 9% from 2018.

Related Ticker: SKT

SKT in downward trend: 10-day moving average crossed below 50-day moving average on December 23, 2024

The 10-day moving average for SKT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on December 23, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SKT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for SKT entered a downward trend on January 08, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SKT advanced for three days, in of 318 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

SKT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SKT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.637) is normal, around the industry mean (1.982). P/E Ratio (31.891) is within average values for comparable stocks, (62.378). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (7.058). Dividend Yield (0.034) settles around the average of (0.068) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.729) is also within normal values, averaging (7.099).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are PROLOGIS (NYSE:PLD), American Tower Corp (NYSE:AMT), Simon Property Group (NYSE:SPG), Annaly Capital Management (NYSE:NLY), Rithm Capital Corp (NYSE:RITM), Tanger (NYSE:SKT), Innovative Industrial Properties (NYSE:IIPR).

Industry description

A real estate investment trust (REIT) is a company any that owns, and in most cases, operates, income-producing real estate – ranging from office and apartment buildings to warehouses, hospitals, shopping centers, hotels and timberlands. Some REITs are involved in financing real estate. Equity REITs invest in and own properties, while mortgage REITs own and invest in property mortgages. REITs are required by law to pay out at least 90% of their annual taxable income (excluding capital gains) to shareholders in the form of dividends. Some REITs could be more cyclical than others; for example, when an economy is undergoing a recession, hotel REITs could be more vulnerable, compared to say healthcare REIT given that healthcare needs are less likely to depend on economic cycles. American Tower Corporation, Prologis, Inc. and Crown Castle International Corp are some of the biggest REIT companies in the U.S.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Real Estate Investment Trusts Industry is 5.37B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 51.9K to 243.79B. COFRF holds the highest valuation in this group at 243.79B. The lowest valued company is PDNLB at 51.9K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Real Estate Investment Trusts Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -1%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2%. INGEF experienced the highest price growth at 60%, while HHDS experienced the biggest fall at -43%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Real Estate Investment Trusts Industry was -27%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -35% and the average quarterly volume growth was 27%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 55
Price Growth Rating: 62
SMR Rating: 79
Profit Risk Rating: 87
Seasonality Score: 11 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: REAL ESTATE DEVELOPMENT
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General Information

a real estate investment trust

Industry RealEstateInvestmentTrusts

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Real Estate Investment Trusts
Address
3200 Northline Avenue
Phone
+1 336 292-3010
Employees
407
Web
https://www.tangeroutlet.com