SMBS Schwab® Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

SMBS's RSI Oscillator leaves overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Indicator for SMBS moved out of overbought territory on October 29, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 4 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 4 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 14, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SMBS as a result. In of 17 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SMBS turned negative on October 29, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 7 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 7 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SMBS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

SMBS broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 16, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 10 cases where SMBS's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SMBS advanced for three days, in of 65 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 65 cases where SMBS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .