SMBS Schwab® Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

SMBS's RSI Indicator leaves overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Indicator for SMBS moved out of overbought territory on June 27, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 2 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 2 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SMBS turned negative on July 08, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 4 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 4 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SMBS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

SMBS broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 26, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 04, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SMBS as a result. In of 8 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

SMBS moved above its 50-day moving average on June 10, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for SMBS crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on June 12, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 2 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SMBS advanced for three days, in of 36 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 19 cases where SMBS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .