SPDN Stock Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1X ETF (SPDN) (SPDN, $8.41) Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) Histogram turned positive on October 15, 2026
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This is a Bullish indicator signaling SPDN's price could rise from here. Traders may explore going long the stock or buying call options. A.I. dvisor identified 51 similar cases where SPDN's MACD histogram became positive, and of them led to successful outcomes. Odds of Success:
SPDN in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026
SPDN moved above its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 34 of 41 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 16, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SPDN as a result. In 59 of 78 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SPDN just turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where SPDN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 36 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
Following a +0.96% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPDN advanced for three days, in 201 of 261 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The 10-day moving average for SPDN crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 24, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPDN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.
The Aroon Indicator for SPDN entered a downward trend on October 15, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.