Spire Global Inc provides space-based data, analytics, and space services, offering datasets and insights about Earth to support decision-making... Show more
Spire Global occupies a strong position in the burgeoning space data and analytics industry, leveraging a constellation of approximately 100 nanosatellites and hosted payloads to deliver real-time insights on weather, maritime, aviation, and government applications. The company's competitive edge lies in its proprietary single-satellite RF geolocation technology, which enables cost-effective, scalable detection of signals for defense and intelligence purposes, differentiating it from rivals like Planet Labs and BlackSky. This innovation supports a data-as-a-service model with recurring revenue potential, bolstered by expansion into high-margin government sectors. Medium-term, Spire's $200 million backlog underscores market share gains in space services, with strategic investments in satellite manufacturing enhancing operational scalability and reducing reliance on third-party launches.
The near-term horizon features several pivotal events. Q1 2026 earnings, slated for May 13, will likely refine full-year guidance, with investors eyeing progress toward 30%+ revenue expansion and EBITDA breakeven. The annual stockholder meeting on May 27 could highlight capital allocation priorities post-recent funding. Ongoing defense contract awards, including RF geolocation pilots, stand to validate technological leadership and boost backlog. Analyst activity remains bullish, with Canaccord Genuity reiterating Buy and $22 price target on April 10 amid growth optimism; consensus reflects 7 analysts' "Strong Buy" stance and average target of $16.50-$17.00. Positive surprises in these areas could elevate sentiment, while delays in satellite deployments pose downside risks.
Spire operates in the fast-evolving "New Space" economy, where demand for space-based Earth observation data surges due to climate monitoring, supply chain resilience, and geopolitical tensions. Tailwinds include escalating defense budgets—projected to exceed $2.5 trillion globally—and commercialization of weather analytics for agriculture and energy sectors. The company's government-heavy revenue mix heightens sensitivity to U.S. and allied procurement cycles. Macro headwinds like elevated interest rates could pressure capex-intensive satellite builds, though declining rates may ease funding costs. Broader technology adoption in AI-driven analytics favors Spire's dataset offerings, while regulatory pushes for space sustainability add compliance hurdles but affirm long-term industry viability.
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2026 represents a pivotal inflection for Spire Global, with management guiding for over 30% revenue growth fueled by backlog conversion and new defense wins, alongside adjusted EBITDA breakeven in Q4. Structural drivers include market expansion in maritime domain awareness (post-strategic refocus) and weather intelligence, where AI integration enhances data value. Margin sustainability hinges on scaling satellite ops and cost efficiencies from in-house manufacturing. Long-term themes encompass technology transitions to next-gen payloads, competitive threats from hyperscalers entering space data, and regulatory evolutions in orbital debris management. Consensus analyst expectations, with upward target revisions, signal optimism around execution, though sustained geopolitical demand will be key. Capital allocation toward R&D and selective M&A (mergers and acquisitions) remains a focal point.
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Industry OfficeEquipmentSupplies
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SPIR has been loosely correlated with BKSY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 59% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SPIR jumps, then BKSY could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SPIR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPIR | 100% | -4.05% | ||
| BKSY - SPIR | 59% Loosely correlated | +10.97% | ||
| SRRPF - SPIR | 36% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
| EXPO - SPIR | 35% Loosely correlated | +6.77% | ||
| ARLO - SPIR | 35% Loosely correlated | +5.11% | ||
| AMTM - SPIR | 32% Poorly correlated | +1.35% | ||
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| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SPIR | 1D Price Change % |
|---|---|---|
| SPIR | 100% | -4.05% |
| Office Equipment/Supplies industry (88 stocks) | 2% Poorly correlated | -0.74% |
SPIR saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on May 08, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 82 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 82 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SPIR just turned positive on May 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where SPIR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPIR advanced for three days, in of 272 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 185 cases where SPIR Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The 10-day RSI Indicator for SPIR moved out of overbought territory on April 14, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 29 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 29 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 54 cases where SPIR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPIR declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
SPIR broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SPIR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.117) is normal, around the industry mean (9.640). P/E Ratio (12.031) is within average values for comparable stocks, (50.698). SPIR's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.063). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.044) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (10.111) is also within normal values, averaging (6.069).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SPIR’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 86, placing this stock worse than average.