SVOL Simplify Volatility Premium ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Momentum Indicator for SVOL turns negative, indicating new downward trend

SVOL saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on October 10, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 72 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 72 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for SVOL moved out of overbought territory on September 23, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 35 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 35 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SVOL turned negative on September 25, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 41 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SVOL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

SVOL moved above its 50-day moving average on October 20, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 50-day moving average for SVOL moved above the 200-day moving average on September 29, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SVOL advanced for three days, in of 345 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

SVOL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 347 cases where SVOL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .