SWBI Smith & Wesson Brands Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 41 of 62 cases where SWBI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 15, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SWBI as a result. In 65 of 100 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SWBI turned negative on October 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 37 of the 53 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 70%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SWBI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

SWBI moved above its 50-day moving average on September 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for SWBI crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 29, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.

Following a +2.01% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SWBI advanced for three days, in 177 of 276 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 106 of 166 cases where SWBI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 64%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 18 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.684) is normal, around the industry mean (6.305). P/E Ratio (25.545) is within average values for comparable stocks, (58.116). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.010) is also within normal values, averaging (2.564). SWBI has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.037) as compared to the industry average of (0.009). P/S Ratio (1.071) is also within normal values, averaging (18.330).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SWBI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 80 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 80 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SWBI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock worse than average.