SWGNF Swatch Group AG Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

SWGNF in downward trend: 10-day moving average broke below 50-day moving average on August 22, 2025

The 10-day moving average for SWGNF crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 22, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 18, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SWGNF as a result. In of 51 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SWGNF turned negative on August 07, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 37 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 37 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

The Aroon Indicator for SWGNF entered a downward trend on August 28, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SWGNF's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 26 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 40 cases where SWGNF's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

SWGNF moved above its 50-day moving average on August 27, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 50-day moving average for SWGNF moved above the 200-day moving average on August 07, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SWGNF advanced for three days, in of 6 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

SWGNF may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.669) is normal, around the industry mean (7.014). SWGNF has a moderately high P/E Ratio (126.945) as compared to the industry average of (47.624). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.167) is also within normal values, averaging (2.297). Dividend Yield (0.029) settles around the average of (0.030) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.195) is also within normal values, averaging (2.340).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SWGNF’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SWGNF’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock worse than average.