TEAM stock forecast, quote, news & analysis
Atlassian produces software that helps teams work together more efficiently and more effectively... Show more
Why Atlassian (TEAM) Stock Is Up +10.5% in the Last 30 Days
Key Takeaways
- TEAM shares rose roughly 10.5% over the past 30 days, climbing from about $174.23 to $192.53, extending a powerful post-earnings rebound.
- The move built on Atlassian's fiscal 2026 fourth-quarter results, reported August 6, which beat revenue and earnings expectations and sent the stock up roughly 35% in a single session.
- Over the last quarter, the stock has more than doubled, gaining about 133% from its mid-June levels as AI-related software fears faded.
- Key drivers include accelerating cloud growth, record enterprise deals, surging Rovo AI adoption, a founder share-purchase plan, and a wave of analyst upgrades.
- For fiscal 2027, management guides to roughly 13% total revenue growth and about 18% subscription ARR growth, reflecting a planned Data Center wind-down.
Atlassian (TEAM) Company Overview and Market Position
Atlassian Corporation is a leading provider of AI-powered collaboration, work-management, and software-development tools. Its flagship products include Jira (software planning and project tracking), Confluence (knowledge sharing), Trello, Loom, Bitbucket, and Jira Service Management. The company operates primarily on a subscription software-as-a-service (SaaS) model, delivered through cloud and Data Center offerings, and powers more than 85% of the Fortune 500 across 350,000-plus customers worldwide.
Atlassian's competitive strengths include a developer-first, land-and-expand distribution model, a large installed base, and a growing enterprise presence. Increasingly, its AI layer, anchored by the Rovo assistant and the Teamwork Graph, is positioned as a key differentiator, helping customers orchestrate agentic workflows across the software lifecycle. Investors follow TEAM closely because it is a bellwether for how enterprise SaaS vendors monetize AI.
Atlassian (TEAM) Stock Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter
Over the trailing 30 days, TEAM advanced from a closing price of about $174.23 on August 19 to $192.53 on September 17, a gain of roughly 10.5%. The move was not linear: the stock surged immediately after earnings, consolidated through late August, pulled back in early September, and then recovered to its recent highs.
The quarterly picture is even stronger. From a closing price near $82.72 in mid-June, shares have climbed approximately 133%, more than doubling as the broader software sector staged a sharp recovery from early-2026 lows. This rebound reflects a decisive shift in investor sentiment from viewing AI as a threat to enterprise SaaS toward viewing it as a monetization opportunity.
What Drove TEAM Stock Price in the Last 30 Days
The dominant catalyst remains Atlassian's fiscal fourth-quarter 2026 earnings, released after the market closed on August 6. Revenue rose 28% year over year to $1.77 billion, cloud revenue accelerated 31% to about $1.21 billion, and non-GAAP earnings per share of $1.87 comfortably beat the roughly $1.50 consensus. Remaining performance obligations (RPO) jumped 44% to $4.8 billion, and subscription ARR grew 23% to $6.6 billion. Notably, the company swung to GAAP operating profitability in the quarter, with a 12% GAAP operating margin.
Analyst activity amplified the momentum. Bank of America upgraded the stock to buy, Oppenheimer nearly doubled its price target, and RBC Capital Markets initiated coverage with an outperform rating. In early September, Citi characterized Atlassian as an AI "winner," citing its enterprise knowledge advantages through the Teamwork Graph. Co-founder and CEO Mike Cannon-Brookes also announced plans to purchase up to $250 million of Class A shares, reinforcing confidence in the company's trajectory.
AI adoption metrics supported the narrative. Rovo is used by more than 80% of the Fortune 500, and Rovo-assisted actions grew 50% sequentially, with Rovo-adopting customers expanding ARR at roughly twice the rate of non-adopters.
What Drove TEAM Stock Performance Over the Last Quarter
The quarterly surge is best understood as a reversal of the so-called "SaaSpocalypse." Early in 2026, investors feared that increasingly capable AI agents would displace traditional SaaS products, sending TEAM to multi-year lows. Atlassian's results directly challenged that thesis by showing AI accelerating, rather than eroding, its core business.
Several structural factors shaped the rebound. Cloud migration continues to drive growth as the company winds down Data Center offerings ahead of a 2029 end-of-life, while large-account expansion accelerated: customers with more than $3 million in ARR grew over 50% year over year, and those above $5 million grew over 70%. The Teamwork Graph, spanning roughly 200 billion objects and connections, has become a central selling point, while record enterprise deal activity signaled durable, contracted revenue. Sector-wide recovery in software names further supported the move, lifting peers such as NOW and MNDY alongside Atlassian.
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TEAM Stock Forecast Drivers: What Investors Should Watch Next
Looking ahead, investors should monitor Atlassian's fiscal 2027 first-quarter results, expected in late October, against guidance for total revenue of $1.705 billion to $1.715 billion and cloud growth of about 28.5%. A key question is whether cloud momentum can offset the planned double-digit decline in Data Center revenue as customers migrate.
Other factors worth watching include the pace of Rovo monetization and consumption-based pricing, net revenue retention and large-deal formation, and whether the company sustains its path toward GAAP profitability. Macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty, valuation levels after the sharp rally, and competitive pressure from rival enterprise-software and work-management vendors remain important risks. Continued analyst revisions and any update to fiscal 2027 guidance will also be closely scrutinized.
Disclaimer
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TEAM's RSI Oscillator peaks and leaves overbought zone
The 10-day RSI Oscillator for TEAM moved out of overbought territory on September 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 26 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In 23 of the 26 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at 88%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 18, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TEAM as a result. In 58 of 72 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TEAM turned negative on September 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 35 of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 78%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TEAM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.
TEAM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 27, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The 50-day moving average for TEAM moved above the 200-day moving average on August 25, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a +1.43% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TEAM advanced for three days, in 233 of 307 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 125 of 171 cases where TEAM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 73%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 13 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TEAM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 97 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (45.872) is normal, around the industry mean (51.950). TEAM's P/E Ratio (1516.000) is considerably higher than the industry average of (82.426). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.001) is also within normal values, averaging (3.152). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.011) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (7.530) is also within normal values, averaging (70.180).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TEAM’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
an enterprise software solutions provider
Industry PackagedSoftware