Atlassian produces software that helps teams work together more efficiently and effectively... Show more
Atlassian Corporation (TEAM) is a leading provider of team collaboration and productivity software solutions. The company offers a suite of cloud-based and on-premise tools, including Jira for project management and issue tracking, Confluence for team documentation and knowledge sharing, and Trello for visual task organization. Its core business model revolves around subscription-based software-as-a-service (SaaS) offerings, with a strategic focus on migrating customers from self-managed data center products to higher-margin cloud subscriptions.
In the competitive enterprise software industry, Atlassian holds a strong position among knowledge workers and development teams, competing with players like Microsoft and ServiceNow. Its fundamentals, including accelerating cloud adoption and annual recurring revenue surpassing $6 billion, underpin recent stock behavior by highlighting resilient demand despite macroeconomic challenges.
Over the last 30 days, TEAM stock rose +30%, closing around $68 per share at the period's start and reaching $89 recently. The movement was highly volatile and trend-driven, with shares dipping to lows near $56 mid-period before surging sharply on positive corporate developments.
In contrast, the stock fell -22% over the past quarter, starting from approximately $114 and ending near $89. This period featured a steady downtrend early on, range-bound trading at lower levels, and a late recovery, amid broader market fluctuations.
The primary catalyst for TEAM's +30% gain was the Q3 fiscal 2026 earnings release, which reported revenue of $1.79 billion, up 31.6% year-over-year and surpassing analyst expectations by over 5%. Cloud revenue hit a record milestone, growing robustly, while the company highlighted increased AI usage in its platforms and plans to sunset legacy data center products to accelerate cloud migration.
Pre-earnings, shares faced pressure from analyst downgrades and price target cuts, contributing to lows around $56. A partnership expansion with Google Cloud to enhance agentic AI capabilities also bolstered sentiment. Sector-wide optimism in productivity software, with peers showing strength, amplified the post-earnings rally, though some follow-through selling occurred on concerns over AI disruption risks.
TEAM's -22% quarterly decline stemmed from a confluence of macroeconomic headwinds and company-specific factors. Broader technology sector weakness, including a "great rotation" out of high-growth stocks, pressured shares amid softening IT spending and elevated interest rates.
Prior quarterly results showed revenue growth of 23% in Q2 fiscal 2026, but investor focus shifted to decelerating growth rates and competitive threats from AI advancements. Analyst actions, including multiple price target reductions to as low as $100, reflected these concerns. Institutional selling and negative market sentiment toward SaaS names compounded the downtrend, with shares hitting 75% drawdowns from peaks before stabilizing.
Despite this, underlying business strength in enterprise demand provided a floor, setting the stage for the recent rebound.
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Investors should monitor upcoming Q4 fiscal 2026 earnings for continued cloud migration progress and AI feature adoption rates. Industry trends in enterprise collaboration software, including competitive responses to AI integrations, will influence sentiment.
The macroeconomic environment, particularly interest rate trajectories and IT budget cycles, remains critical. Strategic developments like further partnerships and product sunsets could act as catalysts, while risks from regulatory scrutiny on data privacy or economic slowdowns in key markets warrant attention.
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TEAM's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on May 13, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 201 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 201 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TEAM just turned positive on April 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where TEAM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
TEAM moved above its 50-day moving average on May 01, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for TEAM crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 01, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TEAM advanced for three days, in of 317 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The 10-day RSI Indicator for TEAM moved out of overbought territory on May 08, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 31 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 31 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 58 cases where TEAM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 15, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TEAM as a result. In of 74 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TEAM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
TEAM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 01, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TEAM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (25.253) is normal, around the industry mean (19.949). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (67.339). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.669) is also within normal values, averaging (1.623). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.037) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.712) is also within normal values, averaging (57.182).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TEAM’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 96, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
an enterprise software solutions provider
Industry PackagedSoftware