TFJL Innovator 20 Year Treasury Bond 5 Floor ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

TFJL in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on November 05, 2025

TFJL moved below its 50-day moving average on November 05, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 37 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for TFJL moved out of overbought territory on October 27, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 22 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 22 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 30, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TFJL as a result. In of 98 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TFJL turned negative on October 29, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

The 10-day moving average for TFJL crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 11, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TFJL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for TFJL entered a downward trend on November 21, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

The 50-day moving average for TFJL moved above the 200-day moving average on October 22, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TFJL advanced for three days, in of 263 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

TFJL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.