TMF sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
TMF saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on July 08, 2025. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on July 07, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TMF as a result. In of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TMF declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
TMF broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 12, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
TMF moved above its 50-day moving average on July 09, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for TMF crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on June 26, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TMF advanced for three days, in of 284 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 141 cases where TMF Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Advertisement
General Information
Category Trading
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| SEPP | 28.50 | 0.07 | +0.23% |
| PGIM S&P 500 Buffer 12 ETF - Sep | |||
| BALT | 32.21 | 0.03 | +0.08% |
| Innovator Defined Wealth Shld ETF | |||
| LJAN | 24.65 | N/A | N/A |
| Innovator Premium Income 15 Buf ETF -Jan | |||
| MHN | 9.72 | -0.06 | -0.61% |
| Blackrock Muniholdings NEW York Quality Fund | |||
| TSLS | 7.96 | -0.39 | -4.67% |
| Direxion Daily TSLA Bear 1X Shares | |||
TMF and ETFs
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TMF has been closely correlated with UBT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 98% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TMF jumps, then UBT could also see price increases.