Momentum Indicator for TOLL turns negative, indicating new downward trend
TOLL saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on October 13, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 58 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 50 of the 58 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 86%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for TOLL moved out of overbought territory on October 07, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 26 of the 32 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 81%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TOLL turned negative on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 40 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 33 of the 40 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 82%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TOLL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
TOLL moved above its 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for TOLL crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 18, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 11 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
Following a +1.13% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TOLL advanced for three days, in 206 of 236 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.
TOLL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 174 of 205 cases where TOLL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 85%.