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TOTDY Stock Toto (TOTDY, $25.59) price may drop as it broke higher Bollinger Band on Nov 03, 2023

A.I.dvisor
at Tickeron.com
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TOTDY - Toto Ltd
Bollinger signal
Bearish Trend
Odds of DOWN Trend
Tickeron
Bollinger signal
Price: $25.59
Daily change: +$0.43 (+1.69%)
Daily volume: 34.5K
Industry: Building Products
This price move could be a signal that TOTDY may fall back below the higher band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options. A.I.dvisor backtested 49 similar cases where TOTDY's price broke its higher Bollinger Band, and of them led to a successful outcome. Odds of Success:

TOTDY in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on October 21, 2024

TOTDY moved below its 50-day moving average on October 21, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 36 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day moving average for TOTDY crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 24, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TOTDY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for TOTDY entered a downward trend on November 21, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where TOTDY's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 33 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 50 cases where TOTDY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TOTDY just turned positive on November 20, 2024. Looking at past instances where TOTDY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 40 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TOTDY advanced for three days, in of 168 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

TOTDY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.586) is normal, around the industry mean (9.538). P/E Ratio (18.484) is within average values for comparable stocks, (37.536). TOTDY's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (3.657). Dividend Yield (0.024) settles around the average of (0.019) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.027) is also within normal values, averaging (2.250).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. TOTDY’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TOTDY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 60, placing this stock worse than average.

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TOTDY
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A.I.Advisor
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A.I. Advisor
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General Information

Industry BuildingProducts

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
N/A
Address
1-1, Nakashima 2-chome
Phone
+81 338355111
Employees
33431
Web
http://www.toto.co.jp