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Serhii Bondarenko's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jun 28, 2023

Swing Trader: Sector Rotation Strategy (TA&FA) Generates 17.19% for TPG

Swing Trader: Sector Rotation Strategy (TA&FA) Generates 17.19% for TPG

In the world of finance, traders and investors are constantly seeking profitable strategies to maximize their returns. One such strategy, known as the sector rotation strategy, combines both technical analysis (TA) and fundamental analysis (FA) to identify potentially lucrative investment opportunities. In the case of TPG, this strategy has generated a remarkable return of 17.19%.

Bullish Trend Analysis When analyzing the current market conditions for TPG, several indicators point towards a bullish trend that may continue in the foreseeable future.

Firstly, the Stochastic Oscillator, a popular momentum indicator, is currently in the oversold zone. This suggests that TPG may experience an upward price movement soon. Traders and investors should keep a close watch on the stock as it could potentially signal a favorable buying opportunity.

Additionally, the 10-day moving average for TPG recently crossed above the 50-day moving average on June 13, 2023. This bullish crossover indicates a shift in the trend to the upside and can be considered a buy signal by market participants. Historical data reveals that in 2 out of 4 previous instances when the 10-day moving average crossed above the 50-day moving average, the stock continued to climb higher over the following month. Thus, there is a 50% chance of a continued upward trend.

Furthermore, after experiencing a 1.87% increase over the past three days, the price of TPG is expected to grow further. Analysis of past instances where TPG advanced for three consecutive days indicates that in 55 out of 75 cases, the price continued to rise within the following month. This implies a 73% probability of a continued upward trend.

Lastly, the Aroon Indicator, which measures the strength of a trend, has entered an uptrend for TPG today. When the Aroon Indicator entered an uptrend in 28 out of 44 previous cases, the price continued to climb within the following month. Hence, the odds of a continued uptrend for TPG are estimated to be around 64%.

The sector rotation strategy combining both technical and fundamental analysis has proven to be highly profitable for TPG, generating a substantial return of 17.19%. The current bullish trend analysis, including the oversold Stochastic Oscillator, the bullish crossover of moving averages, the recent price advance, and the Aroon Indicator entering an uptrend, all point towards the possibility of further price appreciation in the near future. Traders and investors may consider these factors when evaluating their investment decisions in relation to TPG.

Related Ticker: TPG

TPG sees its Stochastic Oscillator recovers from oversold territory

On May 29, 2025, the Stochastic Oscillator for TPG moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 37 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In of the 37 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

TPG moved above its 50-day moving average on May 27, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for TPG crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 12, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 9 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TPG advanced for three days, in of 220 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 162 cases where TPG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for TPG moved out of overbought territory on May 15, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 20 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 20 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 22, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TPG as a result. In of 53 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TPG turned negative on May 22, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 34 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 34 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TPG declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

TPG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 12, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.776) is normal, around the industry mean (2.731). TPG's P/E Ratio (434.286) is considerably higher than the industry average of (26.281). TPG's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (3.172). Dividend Yield (0.030) settles around the average of (0.071) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.903) is also within normal values, averaging (11.847).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. TPG’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TPG’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Ares Capital Corp (NASDAQ:ARCC), AMTD IDEA Group (NYSE:AMTD), WisdomTree (NYSE:WT).

Industry description

Investment Managers manage financial assets and other investments of clients. Management includes designing a short- or long-term strategy for buying/holding and selling of portfolio holdings. It can also include tax services and other aspects of financial planning as well. While it is perceived that the industry is faced with growing competition from robo-advisors/digital platforms and passive/ index-tracking funds, many investors still find value in actively managed in-person services that investment management companies often emphasize on. At the same time, many wealth managers are also incorporating digital initiatives/low cost options in addition to their in-person customized services. Their main sources of revenues are fees as a percentage of assets under management, in addition to a certain portion of clients’ gains from asset appreciation. BlackRock, Inc., Blackstone Group Inc and Brookfield Asset Management are some of the major investment management companies.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Investment Managers Industry is 6.1B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 57 to 124.17B. BLK holds the highest valuation in this group at 124.17B. The lowest valued company is RSERF at 57.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Investment Managers Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 4%, and the average quarterly price growth was 2%. AABVF experienced the highest price growth at 32%, while PIAC experienced the biggest fall at -36%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Investment Managers Industry was 11%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -17% and the average quarterly volume growth was -2%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 38
P/E Growth Rating: 100
Price Growth Rating: 56
SMR Rating: 100
Profit Risk Rating: 67
Seasonality Score: -1 (-100 ... +100)
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Industry InvestmentManagers

Profile
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Industry
N/A
Address
301 Commerce Street
Phone
+1 817 871-4000
Employees
1850
Web
https://www.tpg.com