Tractor Supply is the largest operator of retail farm and ranch stores in the United States... Show more
Tractor Supply Company (TSCO), the largest rural lifestyle retailer in the United States serving recreational farmers, ranchers, pet owners, and land owners through over 2,600 stores, experienced a modest decline in its most recent completed trading session. Shares closed at $44.81, down 0.44% from the prior close of $45.01. The pullback reflected pre-earnings positioning as investors awaited the Q1 2026 results released the following day.
Ahead of its Q1 earnings report scheduled for April 21 before the market open, TSCO saw profit-taking and position adjustments. Analysts anticipated revenue growth of around 4.8% year-over-year, but mixed consumer signals in discretionary rural goods spending prompted caution. The stock traded in a tight range, peaking intraday at $45.21 before retreating, signaling hesitation among traders.
Trading volume spiked notably to 10.4 million shares on April 20, compared to the three-month average of about 6.7 million, underscoring keen interest ahead of earnings. The broader market mirrored the slight downside with the S&P 500 easing 0.2%. The retail sector diverged, as the SPDR S&P Retail ETF advanced 1.2%, buoyed by strength in sporting goods peers. Fellow specialty retailers showed split results, with some gaining over 2% while industrial distributors edged lower similarly to TSCO. Technically, shares hovered near short-term support around $44, with no major levels breached.
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With Q1 2026 results now public, TSCO reaffirmed its fiscal year 2026 outlook amid steady comparable store sales growth expectations. Investors will monitor Q2 earnings in late July, alongside key economic data like consumer confidence and housing starts impacting rural demand. Plans for 100 new store openings remain on track, but risks include softening discretionary spending, inflationary pressures on farm inputs, and competition in pet and livestock segments. Broader sector dynamics and macroeconomic shifts will shape the path ahead.
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The Aroon Indicator for TSCO entered a downward trend on June 12, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 171 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 171 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 74 cases where TSCO's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TSCO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where TSCO's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 29 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 16, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TSCO as a result. In of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TSCO just turned positive on May 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where TSCO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 54 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TSCO advanced for three days, in of 325 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
TSCO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.309) is normal, around the industry mean (4.764). P/E Ratio (14.897) is within average values for comparable stocks, (29.860). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.339) is also within normal values, averaging (1.347). Dividend Yield (0.031) settles around the average of (0.029) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.026) is also within normal values, averaging (1.291).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. TSCO’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TSCO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a company that engages in the retail sale of farm and ranch products
Industry SpecialtyStores