TSPH TuSimple Holdings Inc. Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

TSPH saw its Stochastic Oscillator peaks and leaves the overbought zone

The Stochastic Oscillator for TSPH moved out of overbought territory on April 11, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock and investors may want to consider selling or taking a defensive position. A.I.dvisor looked at 33 similar instances where the indicator exited the overbought zone. In of the 33 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 11, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TSPH as a result. In of 82 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TSPH turned negative on April 10, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 33 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 33 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

TSPH moved below its 50-day moving average on April 07, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for TSPH crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 11, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 11 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TSPH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for TSPH entered a downward trend on April 17, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TSPH advanced for three days, in of 156 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TSPH’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.112) is normal, around the industry mean (2.360). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (68.691). TSPH's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.389). TSPH has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.019). TSPH's P/S Ratio (39.683) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (2.804).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TSPH’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock worse than average.