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published in Blogs
Sep 18, 2023

$XOM, $CVX, $SHEL, $TTE, $BP, $EQNR, $PBR: Oil company stocks have grown by more than 8% in the last month.

Over the past month, the index has been trading with weak directionality. However, there are sectors and stocks that have performed quite well, with some of the stocks in the Integrated Oil industry showing growth in the range of 8-10% over the last month. You can find signals from our robots by subscribing through the following link:Choppy-Market-Trader-Popular-Stocks-4K-per-position-Market-Neutral-Strategy-TA-FA.

Notable Companies

Among the notable companies in this group are Exxon Mobil Corp (NYSE:XOM), Chevron Corp (NYSE:CVX), BP plc (NYSE:BP), Petroleo Brasileiro Sa-Petrobras ADS (REP 1 Common Share) (NYSE:PBR), Suncor Energy (NYSE:SU), and YPF Sociedad Anonima (NYSE:YPF).

Industry Description

Integrated oil companies are involved in nearly the entire oil value chain, from upstream operations like exploration and production to downstream functions like refining and marketing. Major integrated oil companies include Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation, and BP. The impact of crude oil price fluctuations on their bottom lines can vary depending on the proportion of upstream versus downstream businesses. For example, a company with a significant downstream business may offset adverse effects on its upstream business due to falling crude prices with benefits to its downstream business.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Integrated Oil Industry is $59.7 billion. Market caps for companies in this group range from $39.8 thousand to $465.2 billion. XOM has the highest valuation in this group at $465.2 billion, while PGAS is the lowest valued company at $39.8 thousand.

High and Low Price Notable News

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Integrated Oil Industry was 2.21%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was 4.42%, and the average quarterly price growth was 14.16%. BNMV experienced the highest price growth at 55.1%, while POGS saw the biggest fall at -5.71%.

  • On 9/2/23 at 1:26 PM, BP (BP, $38.13) was a top weekly gainer, with a +5.48% jump.
  • On 8/17/23 at 2:18 PM, Equinor ASA (EQNR, $29.91) was a top loser for the week, declining -5.43%.
  • On 7/25/23 at 7:12 AM, Chevron (CVX, $161.82) was a top weekly gainer, with a +5.46% jump.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Integrated Oil Industry was 43.23%. For the same stocks in the industry, the average monthly volume growth was 16.86%, while the average quarterly volume growth was -33.6%.

  • On 3/15/23 at 7:07 AM, the volume for Equinor ASA stock increased for four consecutive days, resulting in a record-breaking daily growth of 67% of the 65-Day Volume Moving Average.

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, on a scale where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows:

  • Valuation Rating: 55
  • P/E Growth Rating: 54
  • Price Growth Rating: 48
  • SMR Rating: 44
  • Profit Risk Rating: 76
  • Seasonality Score: 15 (-100 ... +100)
  • XOM's Stochastic Oscillator: XOM's Stochastic Oscillator has remained in the overbought zone for 11 consecutive days. The longer it stays in this zone, the more likely a price pullback is expected. Current price: $116.72, trading between $119.80 resistance and $96.37 support lines. During the month of 08/15/23 - 09/15/23, the price experienced an 8% uptrend. In the week of 09/08/23 - 09/15/23, the stock enjoyed a 0.94% uptrend growth.

  • CVX's Momentum Indicator: CVX's Momentum Indicator turned positive on August 29, 2023, suggesting a potential new upward trend. Tickeron's A.I. advisor found that in 51 out of 77 similar instances, the stock moved higher following this signal, indicating a 66% chance of an upward move. Current price: $166.49, trading between $200.73 support and $158.39 support lines. During the month of 08/15/23 - 09/15/23, the price experienced a 6% uptrend. However, the week of 09/08/23 - 09/15/23 showed a -0.43% downtrend.

  • SHEL's Momentum Indicator: SHEL's Momentum Indicator also turned positive on August 29, 2023, suggesting a potential new upward trend. In 23 out of 31 similar instances, the stock moved higher following this signal, indicating a 74% chance of an upward move. Current price: $64.64, trading between $69.28 support and $58.91 resistance lines. During the month of 08/15/23 - 09/15/23, the price experienced a 6% uptrend. In the week of 09/08/23 - 09/15/23, the stock enjoyed a 2% uptrend growth.

  • TTE's RSI Indicator: TTE's RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 4 days, signaling a potential price pullback. Current price: $65.30, trading between $65.64 resistance and $63.00 resistance lines. During the month of 08/15/23 - 09/15/23, the price experienced an 8% uptrend. In the week of 09/08/23 - 09/15/23, the stock enjoyed a 3% uptrend growth.

  • BP's Moving Averages: BP's 50-day Moving Average crossed bullishly above its 200-day moving average on August 24, 2023, indicating a potential long-term bullish signal and a shift to an upward trend. Current price: $38.76, trading between $41.39 support and $33.89 resistance lines. During the month of 08/15/23 - 09/15/23, the price experienced a 7% uptrend. In the week of 09/08/23 - 09/15/23, the stock enjoyed a 0.21% uptrend growth.

  • EQNR's RSI Indicator: EQNR's 10-day RSI Oscillator moved out of overbought territory on September 15, 2023, potentially signaling a shift from an upward trend to a downward trend. Tickeron's A.I. advisor found that in 28 out of 39 similar instances, the stock moved lower following this signal, indicating a 72% chance of a downward move. Current price: $32.72, trading between $34.49 resistance and $31.04 support lines. During the month of 08/15/23 - 09/15/23, the price experienced a 7% uptrend. In the week of 09/08/23 - 09/15/23, the stock enjoyed a 1% uptrend growth.

  • PBR's Uptrend: PBR has been in a 0.95% uptrend, growing for three consecutive days as of September 12, 2023. This is considered a bullish sign, with historical data showing that in 275 out of 339 cases, the price rose further within the following month. Current price: $15.20, above the highest resistance line found by A.I. During the month of 08/15/23 - 09/15/23, the price experienced a 17% uptrend. In the week of 09/08/23 - 09/15/23, the stock enjoyed a 4% uptrend growth.

Related Ticker: XOM, CVX, SHEL, TTE, BP, EQNR, PBR

Momentum Indicator for XOM turns positive, indicating new upward trend

XOM saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on January 03, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 93 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 93 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where XOM's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 21 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 63 cases where XOM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for XOM just turned positive on December 31, 2024. Looking at past instances where XOM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XOM advanced for three days, in of 339 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 50-day moving average for XOM moved below the 200-day moving average on January 03, 2025. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XOM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for XOM entered a downward trend on January 02, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 69, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. XOM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: XOM's P/B Ratio (2.267) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.194). P/E Ratio (13.160) is within average values for comparable stocks, (24.146). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (6.848) is also within normal values, averaging (4.841). Dividend Yield (0.032) settles around the average of (0.111) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.416) is also within normal values, averaging (0.975).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Exxon Mobil Corp (NYSE:XOM), Chevron Corp (NYSE:CVX), BP plc (NYSE:BP), Petroleo Brasileiro Sa-Petrobras ADS (REP 1 Common Share) (NYSE:PBR), Suncor Energy (NYSE:SU), YPF Sociedad Anonima (NYSE:YPF).

Industry description

Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Integrated Oil Industry is 63.72B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 39.76K to 461.22B. XOM holds the highest valuation in this group at 461.22B. The lowest valued company is PGAS at 39.76K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Integrated Oil Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 7%, and the average quarterly price growth was -3%. POGS experienced the highest price growth at 29%, while WDGJY experienced the biggest fall at -13%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Integrated Oil Industry was -5%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 9% and the average quarterly volume growth was 41%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 45
P/E Growth Rating: 45
Price Growth Rating: 54
SMR Rating: 64
Profit Risk Rating: 68
Seasonality Score: -4 (-100 ... +100)
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