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UBCP Stock Tickeron detected bearish Stock Pattern: Triangle Symmetrical Top UBCP on October 14, 2024, netting in a 1.21% gain over 4 weeks

A.I.dvisor
at Tickeron.com
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+1.21% Gain from a Successful pattern Triangle Symmetrical Top
UBCP - United Bancorp
Tickeron
Ticker: UBCP
Company: United Bancorp
Gain from shortening: +1.21%
Confirmed: 10/14/24
Succeeded: 11/07/24
Total length: 28 days
On October 10, 2024, A.I.dvisor detected a Triangle Symmetrical Top Pattern (Bearish) for United Bancorp (UBCP, $13.18). 4 days later, on October 14, 2024, A.I.dvisor confirmed the Bearish pattern, setting a target price of the stock. On November 07, 2024, the stock hit the target price of $12.13 – resulting in a gain for traders who shorted the stock on the pattern detection date.

UBCP saw its Stochastic Oscillator leaves the overbought zone

The Stochastic Oscillator for UBCP moved out of overbought territory on November 14, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock and investors may want to consider selling or taking a defensive position. A.I.dvisor looked at 53 similar instances where the indicator exited the overbought zone. In of the 53 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 12, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on UBCP as a result. In of 105 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for UBCP turned negative on November 08, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UBCP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

UBCP moved above its 50-day moving average on November 15, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UBCP advanced for three days, in of 256 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

UBCP may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. UBCP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 62, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.332) is normal, around the industry mean (1.029). P/E Ratio (9.459) is within average values for comparable stocks, (18.662). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.381). Dividend Yield (0.045) settles around the average of (0.057) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.728) is also within normal values, averaging (2.987).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

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UBCP
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General Information

a regional bank

Industry RegionalBanks

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Regional Banks
Address
201 South 4th Street
Phone
+1 740 633-0445
Employees
144
Web
https://www.unitedbancorp.com