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UHG Stock Tickeron detected bearish Stock Pattern: Wedge Rising UHG on July 24, 2024, netting in a 12.77% gain over 2 weeks

A.I.dvisor
at Tickeron.com
08/07/24
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+12.77% Gain from a Successful pattern Wedge Rising
UHG - United Homes Group
Tickeron
Ticker: UHG
Company: United Homes Group
Gain from shortening: +12.77%
Confirmed: 07/24/24
Succeeded: 08/05/24
Total length: 17 days
On July 19, 2024, A.I.dvisor detected a Wedge Rising Pattern (Bearish) for United Homes Group (UHG, $6.42). 5 days later, on July 24, 2024, A.I.dvisor confirmed the Bearish pattern, setting a target price of the stock. On August 05, 2024, the stock hit the target price of $5.63 – resulting in a +1 gain for traders who shorted the stock on the pattern detection date.

UHG's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for UHG entered a downward trend on October 28, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 69 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 69 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 25, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on UHG as a result. In of 74 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for UHG turned negative on October 21, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 41 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

UHG moved below its 50-day moving average on October 18, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for UHG crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 14, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UHG declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

UHG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 26, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 47 cases where UHG's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UHG advanced for three days, in of 127 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. UHG’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (9.662) is normal, around the industry mean (7.196). P/E Ratio (2.894) is within average values for comparable stocks, (103.177). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.437). UHG has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.044). P/S Ratio (0.900) is also within normal values, averaging (88.859).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. UHG’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 53, placing this stock worse than average.

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UHG
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General Information

Industry Homebuilding

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
N/A
Address
917 Chapin Road
Phone
+1 844 766-4663
Employees
196
Web
https://www.unitedhomesgroup.com