UMGNF UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

UMGNF in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on April 03, 2025

UMGNF may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 31 cases where UMGNF's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 16, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on UMGNF as a result. In of 76 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for UMGNF just turned positive on April 15, 2025. Looking at past instances where UMGNF's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 38 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

UMGNF moved above its 50-day moving average on April 23, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for UMGNF crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on April 30, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 9 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UMGNF advanced for three days, in of 168 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 164 cases where UMGNF Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 16 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UMGNF declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. UMGNF’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (16.529) is normal, around the industry mean (5.707). P/E Ratio (36.232) is within average values for comparable stocks, (92.419). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.807) is also within normal values, averaging (2.987). Dividend Yield (0.021) settles around the average of (0.040) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.932) is also within normal values, averaging (30.155).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. UMGNF’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock worse than average.