Wheels Up Experience Inc is a provider of on-demand private aviation... Show more
Wheels Up Experience Inc. is an on-demand private aviation provider that combines a controlled fleet of premium aircraft with a vetted network of charter operators. Its offerings span memberships, charter flights, and corporate enterprise solutions, with a strategy centered on premium Embraer Phenom 300 and Bombardier Challenger 300 series jets. The company maintains a long-standing strategic and financial relationship with Delta Air Lines (DAL), which provides fleet financing support, access to sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) supply, and seamless private-to-commercial travel options. Investors follow UP as a barometer for demand in the private-aviation and aspirational-consumer markets.
Over the last 30 days, UP fell approximately 29%, sliding from a close near $3.59 to about $2.55, with the decline accelerating after the company's third-quarter earnings release in early November. The move extends a much steeper pullback: over the trailing three-month period, the shares have dropped roughly 52%, from near $5.36 to current levels. The sustained downtrend has pushed the stock toward its 52-week low near $2.40 and well below both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, reflecting persistent negative momentum.
Third-quarter results reported on November 5 were the dominant catalyst. Revenue declined 11% year over year to $164.8 million, while private jet flight revenue fell 7% to $143.9 million as the company wound down legacy programs. The net loss was $89.4 million, though gross profit improved by $16 million to $15.2 million and the adjusted EBITDAR loss narrowed 44%. Investors also weighed the company's ongoing transformation, including an order for six factory-new Embraer Phenom 300E aircraft with deliveries expected in 2027 and an additional $100 million revolving credit facility from Delta. Weak technicals, a strong downtrend, negative equity, sustained cash burn, and insider selling activity disclosed in early November contributed to the continued selling pressure.
The broader multi-month decline reflects the market's reassessment of Wheels Up's liquidity and profitability. Since early August, the company reported revenue declines tied to its fleet modernization and the wind-down of legacy memberships. The transition to a premium Phenom and Challenger fleet reduced live flight legs by roughly a third year over year in the third quarter, pressuring volumes even as revenue per flight leg rose 27%. Heavy interest expense, paid-in-kind debt accumulation, a working capital deficit, and significant debt maturities scheduled for 2028 and 2029 have kept a cautious tone in the market, overshadowing operational improvements such as a 99.3% completion rate and rising Signature Membership adoption.
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Investors should monitor the company's cash generation and liquidity, given its ongoing operating losses, negative equity, and substantial debt load. Key items include progress in scaling the premium fleet toward its year-end target, continued growth in Signature Membership accounts, and the pace of legacy program wind-down. Upcoming earnings reports and any updates to guidance will be closely watched, as will Delta's continued financial support and the timing of Phenom 300E aircraft deliveries in 2027. Broader demand trends in private aviation, fuel and SAF-related costs, macroeconomic conditions affecting affluent consumers, and execution on refinancing or asset sales ahead of 2028-2029 debt maturities are also likely to influence the stock's direction.
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It is expected that a price bounce should occur soon.
Following a +5.98% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UP advanced for three days, in 186 of 235 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
UP may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 36 of 36 cases where UP's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 04, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on UP as a result. In 82 of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for UP turned negative on November 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 45 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 90%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
The Aroon Indicator for UP entered a downward trend on November 10, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 9 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 20 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (-0.184) is normal, around the industry mean (0.918). P/E Ratio (-0.336) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-5.910). UP's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (0.572). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.062) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.158) is also within normal values, averaging (8.002).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 90 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. UP’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. UP’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 64, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Industry AirFreightCouriers