USO United States Oil Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis
The investment seeks the daily changes in percentage terms of its shares’ per share NAV to reflect the daily changes in percentage terms of the spot price of light, sweet crude oil delivered to Cushing, Oklahoma, as measured by the daily changes in the price of a specified short-term futures contract on light, sweet crude oil called the “Benchmark Oil Futures Contract,” plus interest earned on USO’s collateral holdings, less USO’s expenses... Show more
USO's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for USO turned positive on September 16, 2025. Looking at past instances where USO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The 10-day moving average for USO crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 26, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where USO advanced for three days, in of 344 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 63 cases where USO's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 30, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on USO as a result. In of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
USO moved below its 50-day moving average on September 29, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where USO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
USO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 24, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
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General Information
Category CommoditiesBroadBasket
USO and ETFs
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, USO has been closely correlated with USOI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 95% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if USO jumps, then USOI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To USO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USO | 100% | -1.13% | ||
| USOI - USO | 95% Closely correlated | -0.66% | ||
| BCIM - USO | 27% Poorly correlated | +0.02% | ||
| PSLV - USO | 27% Poorly correlated | -0.19% | ||
| SLV - USO | 24% Poorly correlated | -0.31% | ||
| SGOL - USO | 22% Poorly correlated | +0.82% | ||
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