USO United States Oil Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis
The investment seeks the daily changes in percentage terms of its shares’ per share NAV to reflect the daily changes in percentage terms of the spot price of light, sweet crude oil delivered to Cushing, Oklahoma, as measured by the daily changes in the price of a specified short-term futures contract on light, sweet crude oil called the “Benchmark Oil Futures Contract,” plus interest earned on USO’s collateral holdings, less USO’s expenses... Show more
USO sees its Stochastic Oscillator climbs out of oversold territory
On November 17, 2025, the Stochastic Oscillator for USO moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 65 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In of the 65 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where USO's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 21 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 18, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on USO as a result. In of 82 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for USO just turned positive on November 17, 2025. Looking at past instances where USO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
USO moved above its 50-day moving average on November 18, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where USO advanced for three days, in of 348 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
USO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 50-day moving average for USO moved below the 200-day moving average on October 16, 2025. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where USO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for USO entered a downward trend on October 29, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
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General Information
Category CommoditiesBroadBasket
USO and ETFs
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, USO has been closely correlated with USOI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 95% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if USO jumps, then USOI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To USO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USO | 100% | +1.68% | ||
| USOI - USO | 95% Closely correlated | +1.23% | ||
| BCIM - USO | 27% Poorly correlated | -0.18% | ||
| PSLV - USO | 27% Poorly correlated | +1.45% | ||
| SGOL - USO | 22% Poorly correlated | +0.70% | ||
| SLV - USO | 20% Poorly correlated | +1.39% | ||
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