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VET stock forecast, quote, news & analysis

Vermilion Energy Inc is an international oil and gas-producing company... Show more

VET
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Why Vermilion Energy Inc. (VET) Is Down -12% in the Last 30 Days

Key Takeaways

  • VET declined approximately -12% over the past 30 days amid a broader energy sector pullback and softening oil prices following early April peaks.
  • Over the past quarter, VET rose +28%, driven by strong Q1 2026 production beats, strategic asset acquisitions in Germany, and favorable European natural gas pricing.
  • Key factors include exposure to premium-priced European gas markets, production growth to 125,000 boe/d (barrels of oil equivalent per day), and repositioning away from lower-return assets like Croatia.
  • Energy sector peers, such as the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE), also experienced recent declines after quarterly gains.
  • Macro trends like volatile commodity prices and geopolitical tensions influenced short-term volatility.

Vermilion Energy Inc. (VET) Overview and Portfolio Exposure

Vermilion Energy Inc. (VET) is an independent international oil and natural gas producer focused on creating value through acquisitions, exploration, and development. Although structured as a single stock rather than a traditional ETF, its performance reflects exposure to a diversified portfolio of energy assets akin to a thematic energy basket. The company operates approximately across multiple properties in North America and Europe.

Key exposures include liquids-rich natural gas in Western Canada (Saskatchewan and British Columbia), conventional natural gas in Germany and the North Sea, and low-decline oil assets in Ireland and other regions. Recent portfolio changes feature a strategic acquisition in Germany and divestment of Croatia assets, enhancing focus on high-return gas production. This gas-heavy profile (with significant European TTF-linked pricing) explains sensitivity to natural gas trends, contributing to recent price behavior amid shifting commodity dynamics.

Vermilion Energy Inc. (VET) Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter

Over the last 30 days, VET's price fell from around $12.61 to $11.06, marking a -12% decline. The movement was volatile and trend-driven downward, aligning with a sector-wide retreat after early-month highs.

In contrast, the past quarter saw a robust +28% gain, rising from approximately $8.64. Performance was steady upward, supported by operational momentum, though punctuated by short-term fluctuations.

What Drove VET Price in the Last 30 Days

VET's 30-day downturn primarily stemmed from a correction in energy markets. Oil prices peaked near $112 per barrel in early April before declining amid reduced geopolitical tensions and ample supply signals, pressuring energy stocks. The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE) mirrored this, dropping from mid-$60s to mid-$50s.

Company-specific factors included a market reaction to the April 7 Q1 production update, despite beating guidance at 125,000 boe/d, as investors weighed divestments and future guidance. VET's heavy reliance on European natural gas (priced at TTF benchmark) faced headwinds from inventory builds and softer demand signals. No major outflows were noted, but sentiment shifted with broader sector rotation away from energy.

What Drove VET Performance Over the Last Quarter

The quarterly uptrend was fueled by operational strength and strategic moves. Q1 2026 production exceeded expectations, driven by outperformance in Canada and Germany, boosting cash flows amid rising energy prices earlier in the period.

Portfolio repositioning—acquiring high-value German gas assets and exiting Croatia—improved asset quality and exposure to premium TTF gas pricing. Macro tailwinds included firmer oil and gas prices from supply constraints and demand recovery. Cumulative impact from these factors, plus a 103% annual rally backdrop, propelled the +28% gain, with VET outperforming broader energy indices.

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VET ETF Outlook: What Investors Should Watch Next

Investors should monitor European natural gas prices (TTF benchmark) and global oil trends (WTI/Brent), given VET's gas-heavy portfolio. Track Q1 full earnings on May 6, 2026, for financial details and 2026 guidance. Upcoming production updates from Canada and new German concessions could signal growth. Broader risks include commodity volatility, geopolitical events affecting energy supply, and shifts in sector sentiment. Watch energy sector peers like XLE for relative strength.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for VET with price predictions
May 14, 2026

VET sees its Stochastic Oscillator recovers from oversold territory

On May 12, 2026, the Stochastic Oscillator for VET moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 55 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In of the 55 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VET advanced for three days, in of 313 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 06, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on VET as a result. In of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for VET turned negative on May 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

VET moved below its 50-day moving average on May 06, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for VET crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on May 14, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VET declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

VET broke above its upper Bollinger Band on April 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for VET entered a downward trend on April 28, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.291) is normal, around the industry mean (13.585). P/E Ratio (25.114) is within average values for comparable stocks, (41.930). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (6.262). Dividend Yield (0.030) settles around the average of (0.061) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.382) is also within normal values, averaging (163.746).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. VET’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. VET’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock worse than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

VET paid dividends on April 15, 2020

Vermilion Energy VET Stock Dividends
А dividend of $0.12 per share was paid with a record date of April 15, 2020, and an ex-dividend date of March 30, 2020. Read more...
A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP), Canadian Natural Resources Limited (NYSE:CNQ), EOG Resources (NYSE:EOG), Occidental Petroleum Corp (NYSE:OXY), Diamondback Energy (NASDAQ:FANG), Devon Energy Corp (NYSE:DVN), EQT Corp (NYSE:EQT), Expand Energy Corporation (NASDAQ:EXE), APA Corp (NASDAQ:APA), ANTERO RESOURCES Corp (NYSE:AR).

Industry description

The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Oil & Gas Production Industry is 5.17B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 3.28K to 144.94B. COP holds the highest valuation in this group at 144.94B. The lowest valued company is PSTRQ at 3.28K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Oil & Gas Production Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 5%, and the average quarterly price growth was 38%. WTXR experienced the highest price growth at 171%, while PTCO experienced the biggest fall at -33%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Oil & Gas Production Industry was -38%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -6% and the average quarterly volume growth was 25%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 48
Price Growth Rating: 49
SMR Rating: 78
Profit Risk Rating: 73
Seasonality Score: 11 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a company that explores and produces oil and natural gas

Industry OilGasProduction

Profile
Details
Industry
Oil And Gas Production
Address
520 - 3rd Avenue South West
Phone
+1 403 269-4884
Employees
740
Web
https://www.vermilionenergy.com
Why Vermilion Energy Inc. (VET) Is Down -12% in the Last 30 Days