VGSH Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Aroon Indicator for VGSH shows an upward move is likely

VGSH's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on December 17, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 290 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 290 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 25, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on VGSH as a result. In of 94 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for VGSH just turned positive on November 18, 2024. Looking at past instances where VGSH's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

VGSH moved above its 50-day moving average on November 27, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VGSH advanced for three days, in of 218 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for VGSH moved out of overbought territory on December 10, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 32 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 69 cases where VGSH's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VGSH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

VGSH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 27, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.