VMBS Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Secs ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

VMBS in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on December 13, 2024

VMBS moved below its 50-day moving average on December 13, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 50 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for VMBS moved out of overbought territory on December 09, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 23 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 23 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on December 12, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on VMBS as a result. In of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for VMBS turned negative on December 13, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VMBS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The 10-day moving average for VMBS crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on December 05, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VMBS advanced for three days, in of 296 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

VMBS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 239 cases where VMBS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .