VMBS Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Secs ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

VMBS sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

VMBS saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 29, 2025. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for VMBS moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 25 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 25 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 56 cases where VMBS's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 20, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on VMBS as a result. In of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VMBS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

VMBS broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 16, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VMBS advanced for three days, in of 301 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 253 cases where VMBS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .