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VRTX Stock Tickeron detected bearish Stock Pattern: Broadening Top VRTX on February 02, 2024, netting in a 8.36% gain over 1 month

A.I.dvisor
at Tickeron.com
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+8.36% Gain from a Successful pattern Broadening Top
VRTX - Vertex Pharmaceuticals
Tickeron
Ticker: VRTX
Company: Vertex Pharmaceuticals
Gain from shortening: +8.36%
Confirmed: 02/02/24
Succeeded: 03/14/24
Total length: 44 days
On January 30, 2024, A.I.dvisor detected a Broadening Top Pattern (Bearish) for Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX, $446.08). 3 days later, on February 02, 2024, A.I.dvisor confirmed the Bearish pattern, setting a target price of the stock. On March 14, 2024, the stock hit the target price of $409.04 – resulting in a gain for traders who shorted the stock on the pattern detection date.

VRTX sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

VRTX saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on November 15, 2024. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 51 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for VRTX moved out of overbought territory on November 11, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 36 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 36 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 62 cases where VRTX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 15, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on VRTX as a result. In of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

VRTX moved below its 50-day moving average on November 15, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VRTX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

VRTX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 07, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The 10-day moving average for VRTX crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 05, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VRTX advanced for three days, in of 343 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 279 cases where VRTX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. VRTX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.675) is normal, around the industry mean (14.849). P/E Ratio (32.764) is within average values for comparable stocks, (95.928). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.221) is also within normal values, averaging (1.788). VRTX has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.012). P/S Ratio (11.338) is also within normal values, averaging (211.128).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

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VRTX
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General Information

a company that discovers and develops novel, small molecule pharmaceuticals

Industry Biotechnology

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Biotechnology
Address
50 Northern Avenue
Phone
+1 617 341-6100
Employees
5400
Web
https://www.vrtx.com