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Vitalii Liubimov's Avatar
published in Blogs
Aug 06, 2023

$UNP, $CNI, $CP, $CSX, $NSC, $WAB, $TRN declined approximately 3% over the week, and our recommendation is to sell.

Last week's performance for the railroads sector saw a moderate decline, and our recommendations were to sell within this sector. You can find more information and access the data on these companies in our robot at Swing-Trader-for-Beginners-Search-for-Trend-Reversals-TA-FA.

Last week, stocks in the railroads sector experienced a moderate decline of approximately 2-3%, which aligns with the overall market downturn. Our recommendations for this sector were to sell. The notable companies in this group include Union Pacific Corp (NYSE: UNP), CSX Corp (NASDAQ: CSX), and Norfolk Southern Corp (NYSE: NSC).

The average market capitalization across the group stands at an impressive $61.2B, with market caps for individual companies ranging from $2.1B to $139.3B. Union Pacific Corp holds the highest valuation in this group at $139.3B, while the lowest valued company is TRN at $2.1B.

In terms of price movements, the average weekly price growth for all stocks in the group was -3.23%. However, looking at the monthly performance, the group showed a positive uptrend of 1.51%, and over the quarter, there was a slight decline of -0.17%. Notably, TRN experienced the highest price growth at -0.31%, while CSX suffered the biggest fall at -6.75%.

During the week of 8/5/23 at 7:02 AM, CSX (CSX, $31.52) emerged as the top loser, declining by -6.75%. However, on 6/8/23 at 7:25 AM, it was a top weekly gainer with a significant 6.23% jump. Meanwhile, on 5/25/23 at 7:44 AM, Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP, $76.78) faced a similar fate, being a top loser with a decline of -6.82%.

Looking at trading volume, the average weekly volume growth for all stocks in the group was 18%. On 6/24/23 at 6:52 AM, Trinity Industries stock saw a record-breaking daily growth of 217% of the 65-Day Volume Moving Average.

Considering fundamental analysis ratings, the group's average ratings are as follows: Valuation Rating: 78, P/E Growth Rating: 66, Price Growth Rating: 47, SMR Rating: 51, and Profit Risk Rating: 32. The Seasonality Score stands at -45, suggesting a bearish sentiment. For UNP, its RSI Indicator left the overbought zone as the 10-day RSI Oscillator moved out of the overbought territory on August 02, 2023. This indicates a potential shift from an upward trend to a downward trend, prompting traders to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I. advisor found that in 17 of the 32 instances when the indicator moved out of the overbought zone, the stock moved lower in the following days, putting the odds of a move down at 53%.

Moving on to stock forecasts, the current price of $228.52 for one of the companies is above the highest support line found at $228.46 by A.I. Throughout the month of 07/05/23 - 08/04/23, the price experienced an impressive +12% uptrend, while the week of 07/28/23 - 08/04/23 showed a minor -2% downtrend. Another stock, CNI, saw its Momentum Indicator turn negative on August 02, 2023, signaling a new downward trend. Tickeron's A.I. advisor found that in 51 of the 88 similar instances, when the indicator turned negative, the stock moved further down in the following days, putting the odds of a decline at 58%.

For the stock priced at $116.92, it crossed the support line at $111.32 and is currently trading between $150.27 resistance and $111.32 support lines. Throughout the month of 07/05/23 - 08/04/23, the price experienced a -2% downtrend, while the week of 07/28/23 - 08/04/23 saw a decline of -3%.

Regarding CP, its 10-day RSI Indicator moved out of the overbought territory on July 27, 2023, possibly signaling a shift from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I. advisor found that in 29 of the 53 instances when the indicator moved out of the overbought zone, the stock moved lower in the days that followed, putting the odds of a move down at 55%.

Lastly, for another stock priced at $80.81, it is currently below the lowest support line found at $84.02 by A.I. Throughout the month of 07/05/23 - 08/04/23, the price experienced a slight +0.67% uptrend, while the week of 07/28/23 - 08/04/23 showed a -3% downtrend.

 

Related Ticker: UNP, CNI, CP, CSX, NSC, WAB, TRN

UNP's MACD Histogram just turned positive

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for UNP turned positive on January 02, 2025. Looking at past instances where UNP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on January 03, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on UNP as a result. In of 92 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UNP advanced for three days, in of 330 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UNP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for UNP entered a downward trend on January 02, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. UNP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: UNP's P/B Ratio (8.621) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.817). P/E Ratio (21.673) is within average values for comparable stocks, (19.358). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.467) is also within normal values, averaging (3.904). Dividend Yield (0.022) settles around the average of (0.040) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.921) is also within normal values, averaging (3.828).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Union Pacific Corp (NYSE:UNP), CSX Corp (NASDAQ:CSX), Norfolk Southern Corp (NYSE:NSC).

Industry description

The Railroad industry includes passenger and freight transportation services along rail lines. This also includes companies that provide maintenance and switching duties as part of rail services. Within North America, the industry is largely dominated by some large operators. Several short-line railroads serve regional and local routes. Union Pacific Corporation, Canadian National Railway Company, and CSX Corporation are some of the prominent names in the business. The railroad business is relatively cyclical; economic expansion boost the freight services in particular, while economic stagnation often dampens transportation demand.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Railroads Industry is 15.54B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 320 to 142.96B. UNP holds the highest valuation in this group at 142.96B. The lowest valued company is URAL at 320.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Railroads Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 3%, and the average quarterly price growth was 1%. CDGLY experienced the highest price growth at 19%, while CRYCY experienced the biggest fall at -23%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Railroads Industry was 49%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 92% and the average quarterly volume growth was 83%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 55
P/E Growth Rating: 68
Price Growth Rating: 58
SMR Rating: 74
Profit Risk Rating: 79
Seasonality Score: 12 (-100 ... +100)
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WAB
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General Information

a manufacturer of products for locomotives, freight cars, and passenger transit vehicles

Industry Railroads

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery
Address
30 Isabella Street
Phone
+1 412 825-1000
Employees
29000
Web
https://www.wabteccorp.com