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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Nov 23, 2018

Oil Prices Plummeted -7% on Friday To Touch The Year's Nadir

On Friday, oil prices dropped to their lowest level in almost a year. West Texas Intermediate crude briefly plunged about -7% to $50.60 a barrel, its weakest price since Oct. 12, 2017. International benchmark Brent crude price fell -4.9% to around $59.52 a barrel at 9:44 a.m. ET.

Oil prices are down around -20% so far this month. Reports of a possible production cut by OPEC in December is apparently failing to boost prices of crude futures.  Traders/investors are probably expecting the pace of oil demand growth to fall short of supply. The International Energy Agency (IEA) recently projected that non-OPEC output alone would climb to 2.3 million barrels per day (bpd) this year, while global supply has already been climbing so far in 2018.  The IEA expects demand in 2019 to grow at a rate of 1.3 million bpd, revising down its previous forecast of 1.5 million bpd. Meanwhile, U.S. President Donald Trump has been urging OPEC not to cut production next month as he is apparently in favor of lower oil prices.

 

Related Ticker: WTID

WTID's MACD Histogram just turned positive

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for WTID turned positive on July 15, 2025. Looking at past instances where WTID's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 22 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

WTID moved above its 50-day moving average on August 04, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for WTID crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 12, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 10 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where WTID advanced for three days, in of 136 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 54 cases where WTID Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 28 cases where WTID's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 15, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on WTID as a result. In of 40 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where WTID declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Industry description

The investment seeks return on the notes is linked to a three times leveraged participation in the daily inverse performance of the Solactive MicroSectors™ Energy Index. The notes are designed to reflect a 3x leveraged inverse exposure to the inverse performance of the index on a daily basis, before taking into account the negative effect of the Daily Investor Fee, any negative Daily Interest, and the Redemption Fee Amount, if applicable. However, due to daily resetting leverage, the returns on the notes over different periods of time can, and most likely will, differ significantly from three times the return on a direct short investment in the index.
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