XLE The Energy Select Sector SPDR® ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Momentum Indicator for XLE turns positive, indicating new upward trend

XLE saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on August 20, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 91 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 91 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for XLE just turned positive on August 21, 2025. Looking at past instances where XLE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

XLE moved above its 50-day moving average on August 21, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XLE advanced for three days, in of 374 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The 10-day moving average for XLE crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 12, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XLE declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

XLE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 21, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for XLE entered a downward trend on August 15, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.