XLF The Financial Select Sector SPDR® ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis
The investment seeks investment results that, before expenses, correspond generally to the price and yield performance of publicly traded equity securities of companies in the Financial Select Sector Index... Show more
XLF saw its Stochastic Oscillator recovers from the overbought zone
The Stochastic Oscillator for XLF moved out of overbought territory on September 16, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock and investors may want to consider selling or taking a defensive position. A.I.dvisor looked at 68 similar instances where the indicator exited the overbought zone. In of the 68 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for XLF turned negative on September 08, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XLF declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
XLF broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 22, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 17, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on XLF as a result. In of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XLF advanced for three days, in of 348 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 336 cases where XLF Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
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General Information
Category Financial
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| ROUS | 56.74 | 0.19 | +0.33% |
| Hartford Multifactor US Equity ETF | |||
| RINF | 32.80 | 0.08 | +0.26% |
| ProShares Inflation Expectations | |||
| AVDS | 67.11 | -0.35 | -0.52% |
| Avantis International Small Cp Eq ETF | |||
| CNAV | 30.03 | -0.16 | -0.53% |
| Mohr Company Nav ETF | |||
| XAR | 222.89 | -1.62 | -0.72% |
| SPDR® S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF | |||
XLF and ETFs
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XLF has been closely correlated with FNCL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 99% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if XLF jumps, then FNCL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To XLF | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLF | 100% | +0.97% | ||
| FNCL - XLF | 99% Closely correlated | +0.96% | ||
| VFH - XLF | 99% Closely correlated | +1.00% | ||
| IYF - XLF | 98% Closely correlated | +0.79% | ||
| RSPF - XLF | 98% Closely correlated | +0.76% | ||
| FXO - XLF | 95% Closely correlated | +0.83% | ||
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