XLF The Financial Select Sector SPDR® ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

XLF in downward trend: 10-day moving average broke below 50-day moving average on March 11, 2025

The 10-day moving average for XLF crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on March 11, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 68 cases where XLF's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

XLF moved below its 50-day moving average on March 26, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XLF declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where XLF's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 19 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on March 20, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on XLF as a result. In of 90 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for XLF just turned positive on March 20, 2025. Looking at past instances where XLF's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XLF advanced for three days, in of 350 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

XLF may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.