XLF The Financial Select Sector SPDR® ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis
The investment seeks investment results that, before expenses, correspond generally to the price and yield performance of publicly traded equity securities of companies in the Financial Select Sector Index... Show more
Momentum Indicator for XLF turns positive, indicating new upward trend
XLF saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on July 22, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 82 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 82 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for XLF just turned positive on July 24, 2025. Looking at past instances where XLF's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XLF advanced for three days, in of 347 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 332 cases where XLF Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for XLF moved out of overbought territory on July 07, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 53 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XLF declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
XLF broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 24, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
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General Information
Category Financial
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
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| IIGD | 24.57 | -0.06 | -0.24% |
| Invesco Investment Grade Defensive ETF | |||
XLF and ETFs
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XLF has been closely correlated with FNCL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 99% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if XLF jumps, then FNCL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To XLF | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLF | 100% | -0.06% | ||
| FNCL - XLF | 99% Closely correlated | -0.23% | ||
| VFH - XLF | 99% Closely correlated | -0.15% | ||
| IYG - XLF | 98% Closely correlated | N/A | ||
| IYF - XLF | 98% Closely correlated | -0.01% | ||
| RSPF - XLF | 98% Closely correlated | -0.05% | ||
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