XLF The Financial Select Sector SPDR® ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

XLF's MACD Histogram just turned positive

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for XLF turned positive on November 26, 2025. Looking at past instances where XLF's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 28, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on XLF as a result. In of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

XLF moved above its 50-day moving average on November 26, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XLF advanced for three days, in of 346 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

XLF may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XLF declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for XLF entered a downward trend on October 27, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.