XLF The Financial Select Sector SPDR® ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis
The investment seeks investment results that, before expenses, correspond generally to the price and yield performance of publicly traded equity securities of companies in the Financial Select Sector Index... Show more
XLF's RSI Oscillator ascending out of oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for XLF moved out of oversold territory on October 13, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 21 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 21 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XLF advanced for three days, in of 350 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
XLF may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 336 cases where XLF Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 08, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on XLF as a result. In of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for XLF turned negative on September 24, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
XLF moved below its 50-day moving average on October 10, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XLF declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
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General Information
Category Financial
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
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| TDSC | 24.75 | 0.26 | +1.06% |
| ETC Cabana Target Drawdown 10 ETF | |||
| EMHY | 39.59 | 0.39 | +0.99% |
| iShares J.P. Morgan EM High Yld Bd ETF | |||
| GDOC | 32.89 | 0.07 | +0.23% |
| Goldman Sachs Future Health Care Eq ETF | |||
XLF and ETFs
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XLF has been closely correlated with FNCL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 99% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if XLF jumps, then FNCL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To XLF | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLF | 100% | +0.96% | ||
| FNCL - XLF | 99% Closely correlated | +0.98% | ||
| VFH - XLF | 99% Closely correlated | +1.03% | ||
| IYF - XLF | 98% Closely correlated | +1.12% | ||
| RSPF - XLF | 98% Closely correlated | +0.82% | ||
| FXO - XLF | 95% Closely correlated | +1.57% | ||
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